Sport Picks
Drogheda vs Galway United
Ireland
FAI Cup Sullivan & Lambe Park, Drogheda 
Match Events
12'
12'
Sub
Ancelin K. In: Oluwa T.
Out: Ancelin K.
15'
15'
Kavanagh B.
22'
22'
Walsh S.
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 1-2. This leg finished 1-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
39%
15%
46%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Galway United
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
46%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Galway United lately — more wins on the board than Drogheda.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
- Galway United arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Galway United, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 37.2%
Drogheda Clean Sheet 18%
Galway United Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Drogheda | Galway United |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 8 | 11 |
| Draws | 9 | 8 |
| Losses | 12 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.34 | 1.55 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.52 | 1.52 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.94 | 1.31 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 4, 2026 FAI Cup
Drogheda vs Galway United
1:2
Aug 7, 2026 Premier Division
Galway United vs Drogheda
0:0
Apr 6, 2026 Premier Division
Drogheda vs Galway United
2:3
Feb 6, 2026 Premier Division
Galway United vs Drogheda
0:1
Oct 24, 2025 Premier Division
Galway United vs Drogheda
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Drogheda Compare
Top Goalscorer Kavanagh B.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47
Galway United Compare
Top Goalscorer Walsh S.
1 Goals Assists Leader Devitt L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Drogheda 32 / 100
Galway United 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Drogheda Galway United
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Galway United Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Galway United let in goals in 90% of their last 29 matches.
Drogheda's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Games between these two average 2.20 goals.
Drogheda has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Drogheda VS Galway United
1.25 Goals Scored 1.5
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.63
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Drogheda
(Home) 18 Sept
Bohemians
2 : 1 Drogheda
14 Sept
Shelbourne
1 : 2 Drogheda
11 Sept
Drogheda
2 : 0 Sligo Rovers
04 Sept
Drogheda
1 : 2 Galway United
28 Aug
Drogheda
2 : 3 Dundalk
Page 1 of 6
11 Sept
Drogheda
2 : 0 Sligo Rovers
04 Sept
Drogheda
1 : 2 Galway United
28 Aug
Drogheda
2 : 3 Dundalk
21 Aug
Drogheda
0 : 2 St. Patricks
31 Jul
Drogheda
0 : 0 Shamrock Rovers
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Galway United
(Away) 18 Sept
Derry City
1 : 0 Galway United
14 Sept
Sligo Rovers
1 : 3 Galway United
11 Sept
Galway United
2 : 3 Bohemians
04 Sept
Drogheda
1 : 2 Galway United
28 Aug
Galway United
1 : 1 Shelbourne
Page 1 of 6
18 Sept
Derry City
1 : 0 Galway United
14 Sept
Sligo Rovers
1 : 3 Galway United
04 Sept
Drogheda
1 : 2 Galway United
21 Aug
Dundalk
1 : 2 Galway United
02 Aug
Bohemians
1 : 1 Galway United
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/32-finals
St. Patricks -
TBD -
TBD -
Wexford -
Shamrock Rovers -
TBD -
TBD -
Cork City -
Liffey Wanderers 1
Ringmahon Rangers 2
TBD -
Bohemians -
Baldoyle Utd. 2
Leicester Celtic AFC 0
TBD -
Longford -
Waterford -
TBD -
TBD -
Cobh Ramblers -
Athlone -
TBD -
Midleton 2
Mayfield Utd 0
St. Michaels 1
Janesboro 3
TBD -
Sligo Rovers -
Kerry -
TBD -
TBD -
Shelbourne -
Bangor Celtic 4
River Valley Rangers 1
College Corinthians 2
Killester Donnycarney 1
Drogheda -
TBD -
Lucan Utd 5
University College Cork 2
Galway United -
TBD -
Crumlin Utd 4
Salthill 0
Finn Harps -
TBD -
TBD -
Bray -
Treaty United -
TBD -
TBD -
UC Dublin -
Derry City -
TBD -
Fairview Rangers 0
Tolka 3
Wayside Celtic 3
St Mochta's 4
TBD -
Dundalk -
Douglas Hall 1
Fanad United 0
Castlebar Celtic 3
North End United 0
1/16-finals
St. Patricks 2
Wexford 1
Shamrock Rovers 4
Cork City 1
Ringmahon Rangers -
Bohemians -
Baldoyle Utd. 0
Longford 8
Waterford 2
Cobh Ramblers 1
Athlone 3
Midleton 0
Janesboro 0
Sligo Rovers 4
Kerry 3
Shelbourne 2
Bangor Celtic 4
College Corinthians 5
Drogheda 4
Lucan Utd 0
Galway United 4
Crumlin Utd 0
Finn Harps 0
Bray 1
Treaty United 1
UC Dublin 2
Derry City 3
Tolka 0
St Mochta's 1
Dundalk 3
Douglas Hall 0
Castlebar Celtic 1
1/8-finals
St. Patricks 3
Shamrock Rovers 2
Bohemians 4
Longford 0
Waterford 2
Athlone 1
Sligo Rovers 4
Kerry 0
College Corinthians 0
Drogheda 3
Galway United 2
Bray 1
UC Dublin 1
Derry City 2
Dundalk 8
Castlebar Celtic 0
Quarter-finals
St. Patricks 1
Bohemians 2
Waterford 3
Sligo Rovers 0
Drogheda 1
Galway United 2
Derry City 4
Dundalk 2
Semi-finals
Bohemians -
Waterford -
Galway United -
Derry City -
Final
TBD -
TBD -
