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Drogheda vs St Mochta's Prediction & H2H Stats

World World

Club Friendly
Tue, Jan 20, 2026
VS
07:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Drogheda host St Mochta's in the Club Friendly. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. St Mochta's have shipped 3 goals a game lately, while Drogheda have conceded 1.52 and scored 1.41. Past meetings favor Drogheda slightly — 1-0-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jan 20, 2026, ending 0:0. The numbers (2.13 xG vs 1.19) point toward Drogheda. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Drogheda
15%
Draws
34%
St Mochta's
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Drogheda

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Drogheda come out ahead of St Mochta's on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Drogheda's way, sitting at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Drogheda Clean Sheet 20%
St Mochta's Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Drogheda St Mochta's
Matches Played 29 18
Wins 10 6
Draws 7 0
Losses 12 12
Goals Scored 1.41 1.56
Goals Conceded 1.52 3
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 20, 2026 Club Friendly
Drogheda vs St Mochta's
0:0
Apr 9, 2018 League Cup
Drogheda vs St Mochta's
3:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Drogheda 58 / 100
St Mochta's 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Drogheda St Mochta's

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Drogheda Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

St Mochta's's defensive record shows goals conceded in 89% of 18 matches.

Drogheda scored in 76% of their last 29 games.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Recent resilience: Drogheda stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Drogheda VS St Mochta's
1.25 Goals Scored 1
1.38 Goals Conceded 3
88% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 100%
38% Over 3.5 100%

Recent Form & Match History

Drogheda

(Home)
01 Oct
Trabzonspor
0 : 1
Drogheda
18 Sept
Bohemians
2 : 1
Drogheda
14 Sept
Shelbourne
1 : 2
Drogheda
11 Sept
Drogheda
2 : 0
Sligo Rovers
04 Sept
Drogheda
1 : 2
Galway United
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St Mochta's

(Away)
17 Jul
St Mochta's
1 : 3
Dundalk
15 May
Wayside Celtic
3 : 4
St Mochta's
18 Jul
Waterford
5 : 1
St Mochta's
17 May
St Mochta's
4 : 0
Douglas Hall
08 Oct
St. Patricks
2 : 1
St Mochta's
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