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DSV Fortuna 05 vs Nussdorfer

Austria Austria

Wien 2011/2012
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

DSV Fortuna 05 play Nussdorfer in the Wien 2011/2012. It looks like a close match. Recently, DSV Fortuna 05 averaged 1.18 goals scored and 2.93 conceded. Nussdorfer averaged 0.94 goals scored and 3.74 conceded. In past meetings, DSV Fortuna 05 won 1, Nussdorfer won 2, and they drew 1. Their last match on Apr 20, 2013 ended 9:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.42 for DSV Fortuna 05 and 2.53 for Nussdorfer. This points to a DSV Fortuna 05 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
DSV Fortuna 05
16%
Draws
34%
Nussdorfer
Draw rate projection: 16% Favored: DSV Fortuna 05

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • DSV Fortuna 05 picked up more points recently compared to Nussdorfer.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.42 vs 2.53 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 81%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 90%
Over 2.5 Goals 81%
Over 3.5 Goals 49%
Over 4.5 Goals 24%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 60%
DSV Fortuna 05 Clean Sheet 10%
Nussdorfer Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 81%
Second Half Goal 86%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric DSV Fortuna 05 Nussdorfer
Matches Played 28 31
Wins 4 3
Draws 6 2
Losses 18 26
Goals Scored 1.18 0.94
Goals Conceded 2.93 3.74
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.43
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 3.63 3.71

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 20, 2013 Wien
Nussdorfer vs DSV Fortuna 05
9:1
Sep 30, 2012 Wien
DSV Fortuna 05 vs Nussdorfer
1:3
Apr 28, 2012 Wien
DSV Fortuna 05 vs Nussdorfer
3:2
Oct 8, 2011 Wien
Nussdorfer vs DSV Fortuna 05
2:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

DSV Fortuna 05 47 / 100
Nussdorfer 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
DSV Fortuna 05 Nussdorfer

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: DSV Fortuna 05 or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +19%
2.38
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +7.7%
1.33
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

DSV Fortuna 05 attacking → ← attacking Nussdorfer

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

DSV Fortuna 05 scored in 79% of their last 28 games.

Nussdorfer let in goals in 97% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 5.75 goals.

DSV Fortuna 05 went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Nussdorfer lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

18 Points in last 5 11
1.13 Goals expected (xG) 1.43
3.63 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 3.71