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Dubocica vs Radnicki S. Mitrovica

Serbia Serbia

Prva Liga 2024/2025 Stadion Dubočica
Our Tip

Match Events

26' Event
Vrekic L.
35' Event
Zivojinovic V.
46'
Sub
Skoric M. In: Mulamuratovic S.
Out: Skoric M.

AI Match Summary

The Prva Liga 2024/2025 game between Dubocica and Radnicki S. Mitrovica finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Dubocica.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Dubocica
44%
Draws
20%
Radnicki S. Mitrovica
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Radnicki S. Mitrovica haven't matched Dubocica's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • Regular Prva Liga 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 19%
Over 2.5 Goals 21%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Dubocica Clean Sheet 24%
Radnicki S. Mitrovica Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dubocica Radnicki S. Mitrovica
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 8 7
Draws 8 12
Losses 15 11
Goals Scored 0.63 0
Goals Conceded 0.88 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 5, 2025 Mozzart Bet Prva Liga
Radnicki S. Mitrovica vs Dubocica
0:1
Dec 15, 2024 Mozzart Bet Prva Liga
Dubocica vs Radnicki S. Mitrovica
2:1
Aug 31, 2024 Mozzart Bet Prva Liga
Radnicki S. Mitrovica vs Dubocica
0:0
Mar 6, 2024 Mozzart Bet Prva Liga
Dubocica vs Radnicki S. Mitrovica
0:0
Sep 23, 2023 Mozzart Bet Prva Liga
Radnicki S. Mitrovica vs Dubocica
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Dubocica Compare

Top Goalscorer Zivojinovic V.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32

Radnicki S. Mitrovica Compare

Top Goalscorer Vrekic L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dubocica 37 / 100
Radnicki S. Mitrovica 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dubocica Radnicki S. Mitrovica

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick RAD Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Dubocica scored in 74% of their last 31 games.

Radnicki S. Mitrovica has conceded goals in 60% of their last 30 outings.

Away concern: Radnicki S. Mitrovica has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

These sides typically produce 1.20 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Dubocica VS -
0.63 Goals Scored 0
0.88 Goals Conceded 0
38% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Radnik Surdulica30188448:1262
2Javor301411531:1953
3Macva Sabac30158736:2153
4Mladost GAT301313428:2052
5FK Vozdovac301210830:2146
6Borac 192630129939:3545
7Graficar Beograd301110939:3843
8Vrsac301191028:2942
9Zemun30913835:2940
10Radnicki S. Mitrovica30714922:2735
11Dubocica307101335:4931
12Smederevo307101323:3731
13Sloven Ruma306121227:4030
14Trayal Krusevac30871530:3928
15Indjija30591626:4324
16Sloboda30491718:3621