Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Dubocica vs Smederevo

Serbia Serbia

Mozzart Bet Prva Liga 2025/2026 Stadion Dubočica, Leskovac
Our Tip

Match Events

8'
Sub
Pavlov E. In: Zivojinovic V.
Out: Pavlov E.
35'
Jovanovic A.
37'
Jocic V.

AI Match Summary

Smederevo in this Mozzart Bet Prva Liga 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Smederevo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Dubocica
35%
Draws
37%
Smederevo
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Smederevo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Smederevo lately — more wins on the board than Dubocica.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Dubocica Clean Sheet 10%
Smederevo Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dubocica Smederevo
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 7 14
Draws 7 7
Losses 14 8
Goals Scored 1.14 1.48
Goals Conceded 1.5 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 17, 2026 Mozzart Bet Prva Liga
Dubocica vs Smederevo
1:2
Nov 23, 2025 Mozzart Bet Prva Liga
Smederevo vs Dubocica
4:0
Aug 20, 2025 Mozzart Bet Prva Liga
Dubocica vs Smederevo
2:0
May 12, 2025 Mozzart Bet Prva Liga
Dubocica vs Smederevo
2:1
Apr 6, 2025 Mozzart Bet Prva Liga
Smederevo vs Dubocica
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Dubocica Compare

Top Goalscorer Zivojinovic V.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Smederevo Compare

Top Goalscorer Cesinha
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ivelja F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dubocica 34 / 100
Smederevo 21 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dubocica Smederevo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Smederevo Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Dubocica found the back of the net in 71% of recent matches (28 games).

Smederevo has conceded goals in 69% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Solid form: Dubocica remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Dubocica VS Smederevo
0.75 Goals Scored 2.38
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Dubocica

(Home)
31 Aug
Graficar Beograd
1 : 4
Dubocica
23 Aug
Dubocica
0 : 2
Borac 1926
19 Aug
Vrsac
2 : 1
Dubocica
15 Aug
Proleter 023
2 : 3
Dubocica
08 Aug
Dubocica
0 : 0
Loznica
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Smederevo

(Away)
30 Aug
TSC Backa Topola
1 : 1
Smederevo
24 Aug
Smederevo
1 : 1
Teleoptik
19 Aug
Metalac
0 : 0
Smederevo
15 Aug
Smederevo
4 : 1
OFK Bor 1919
09 Aug
Graficar Beograd
1 : 2
Smederevo
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