Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Dubocica vs Smederevo - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Serbia Serbia

Mozzart Bet Prva Liga
Sat, Oct 24, 2026
VS
04:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Dubocica host Smederevo in the Mozzart Bet Prva Liga. Form suggests where the edge lies here. Smederevo have shipped 1.18 goals a game lately, while Dubocica have conceded 1.35 and scored 1.03. Head-to-head, Dubocica have won 3 to Smederevo's 2, with 0 draws. They last met on May 17, 2026, ending 1:2. Model xG sits at 1.06 vs 1.44, favoring Smederevo. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Dubocica
30%
Draws
40%
Smederevo
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Smederevo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Smederevo come out ahead of Dubocica on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • Regular Mozzart Bet Prva Liga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Dubocica Clean Sheet 16%
Smederevo Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dubocica Smederevo
Matches Played 31 28
Wins 9 15
Draws 8 5
Losses 14 8
Goals Scored 1.03 1.68
Goals Conceded 1.35 1.18
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 17, 2026 Mozzart Bet Prva Liga
Dubocica vs Smederevo
1:2
Nov 23, 2025 Mozzart Bet Prva Liga
Smederevo vs Dubocica
4:0
Aug 20, 2025 Mozzart Bet Prva Liga
Dubocica vs Smederevo
2:0
May 12, 2025 Mozzart Bet Prva Liga
Dubocica vs Smederevo
2:1
Apr 6, 2025 Mozzart Bet Prva Liga
Smederevo vs Dubocica
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dubocica 36 / 100
Smederevo 21 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dubocica Smederevo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Smederevo Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Solid form: Dubocica remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Dubocica's goal record stands at 68% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Smederevo let in goals in 75% of their last 28 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Dubocica VS Smederevo
1 Goals Scored 1.5
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Dubocica

(Home)
11 Oct
Dubocica
2 : 1
Spartak Subotica
04 Oct
Jedinstvo Ub
0 : 0
Dubocica
28 Sept
Dubocica
1 : 1
Javor
21 Sept
TSC Backa Topola
0 : 0
Dubocica
16 Sept
Dubocica
2 : 0
Teleoptik
Page 1 of 7

Smederevo

(Away)
05 Oct
Smederevo
1 : 0
FK Vozdovac
26 Sept
Smederevo
1 : 0
Vrsac
21 Sept
Napredak
1 : 4
Smederevo
16 Sept
Smederevo
2 : 1
Spartak Subotica
12 Sept
Jedinstvo Ub
2 : 1
Smederevo
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Borac 1926 13 9 1 3 24:17 28
2 TSC Backa Topola 13 7 6 0 28:14 27
3 Javor 13 6 6 1 30:15 24
4 Smederevo 12 7 3 2 21:13 24
5 Vrsac 13 7 1 5 16:13 22
6 Dubocica 13 5 4 4 15:16 19
7 FK Vozdovac 13 5 3 5 13:11 18
8 Metalac 13 5 3 5 16:15 18
9 Napredak 13 5 3 5 13:15 18
10 Loznica 12 3 6 3 16:19 15
11 Spartak Subotica 13 4 3 6 19:25 15
12 Proleter 023 13 3 5 5 19:15 14
13 Teleoptik 13 3 4 6 17:23 13
14 Graficar Beograd 13 3 2 8 17:24 11
15 Jedinstvo Ub 13 2 2 9 12:24 8
16 OFK Bor 1919 13 2 2 9 8:25 8
Promotion - Mozzart Bet Prva Liga (Championship Group)
Relegation - Mozzart Bet Prva Liga (Relegation Group)