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Dubocica vs Spartak Subotica

Serbia Serbia

Mozzart Bet Prva Liga
Sun, Oct 11, 2026
VS
04:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Dubocica host Spartak Subotica in the Mozzart Bet Prva Liga. Form suggests where the edge lies here. Recent numbers: Dubocica at 1.11 goals for, 1.5 against; Spartak Subotica at 1.21 for, 1.93 against. Head-to-head, Dubocica have won 1 to Spartak Subotica's 0, with 0 draws. They last met on Oct 27, 2021, ending 1:2. xG projections (1.38 - 1.44) back Dubocica to edge this. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Dubocica
20%
Draws
44%
Spartak Subotica
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Spartak Subotica

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

36% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Dubocica come out ahead of Spartak Subotica on wins alone.
  • 36% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Mozzart Bet Prva Liga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Dubocica Clean Sheet 16%
Spartak Subotica Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dubocica Spartak Subotica
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 7 5
Draws 8 6
Losses 13 17
Goals Scored 1.11 1.21
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 27, 2021 Mozzart Serbian Cup
Spartak Subotica vs Dubocica
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dubocica 30 / 100
Spartak Subotica 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dubocica Spartak Subotica

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Dubocica Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Spartak Subotica has conceded goals in 86% of their last 28 outings.

Dubocica found the back of the net in 71% of recent matches (28 games).

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Dubocica went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Dubocica VS Spartak Subotica
1.38 Goals Scored 1.13
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Dubocica

(Home)
28 Sept
Dubocica
1 : 1
Javor
21 Sept
TSC Backa Topola
0 : 0
Dubocica
16 Sept
Dubocica
2 : 0
Teleoptik
11 Sept
Metalac
5 : 0
Dubocica
06 Sept
Dubocica
1 : 2
OFK Bor 1919
Page 1 of 6

Spartak Subotica

(Away)
28 Sept
Loznica
2 : 0
Spartak Subotica
21 Sept
Spartak Subotica
0 : 2
FK Vozdovac
16 Sept
Smederevo
2 : 1
Spartak Subotica
11 Sept
Spartak Subotica
1 : 0
Napredak
05 Sept
Spartak Subotica
2 : 0
Vrsac
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Borac 1926 11 8 1 2 20:13 25
2 TSC Backa Topola 11 5 6 0 20:12 21
3 Smederevo 11 6 3 2 20:13 21
4 Vrsac 11 7 0 4 16:11 21
5 Javor 11 5 5 1 26:13 20
6 Metalac 11 5 2 4 16:12 17
7 Spartak Subotica 11 4 3 4 18:17 15
8 FK Vozdovac 11 4 3 4 11:10 15
9 Loznica 11 3 6 2 16:16 15
10 Dubocica 11 4 3 4 13:15 15
11 Napredak 11 4 2 5 10:15 14
12 Proleter 023 11 2 4 5 13:15 10
13 Graficar Beograd 11 3 1 7 15:19 10
14 Teleoptik 12 2 4 6 14:23 10
15 OFK Bor 1919 12 2 2 8 7:21 8
16 Jedinstvo Ub 11 2 1 8 11:21 7
Promotion - Mozzart Bet Prva Liga (Championship Group)
Relegation - Mozzart Bet Prva Liga (Relegation Group)