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Dubra SD vs CD AS Pontes

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Tercera Division - Group 1 2016/2017
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 1 2016/2017 game between Dubra SD and CD AS Pontes finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward CD AS Pontes.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Dubra SD
35%
Draws
39%
CD AS Pontes
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: CD AS Pontes

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • CD AS Pontes carry the better recent record into this one.
  • CD AS Pontes are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 1 2016/2017 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Dubra SD Clean Sheet 20%
CD AS Pontes Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dubra SD CD AS Pontes
Matches Played 30 34
Wins 4 7
Draws 4 11
Losses 22 16
Goals Scored 0.97 1.06
Goals Conceded 2.33 1.59
Expected Goals (xG) 1.60 0.86
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 5, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Dubra SD vs CD AS Pontes
0:2
Sep 18, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
CD AS Pontes vs Dubra SD
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dubra SD 10 / 100
CD AS Pontes 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dubra SD CD AS Pontes

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CD AS Pontes Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: CD AS Pontes conceded in 79% of 34 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Dubra SD found the back of the net in 57% of recent matches (30 games).

Solid form: Dubra SD remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS CD AS Pontes
0 Goals Scored 0.63
0 Goals Conceded 2
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Dubra SD

(Home)
14 May
Deportivo Fabril
2 : 0
Dubra SD
07 May
Dubra SD
3 : 2
Barbadas-Bentraces
30 Apr
SD Negreira
3 : 3
Dubra SD
23 Apr
Dubra SD
0 : 3
Cerceda
13 Apr
CD Choco
2 : 0
Dubra SD
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CD AS Pontes

(Away)
20 Jun
CD AS Pontes
1 : 1
UD Ourense
13 Jun
Atios
0 : 4
CD AS Pontes
06 Jun
CD AS Pontes
1 : 1
Pontellas
30 May
Barco
3 : 2
CD AS Pontes
23 May
CD AS Pontes
1 : 1
Ourense CF
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