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Dubra SD vs Deportivo Fabril

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Tercera Division - Group 1 2016/2017
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 1 2016/2017 game between Dubra SD and Deportivo Fabril finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Deportivo Fabril.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Dubra SD
30%
Draws
47%
Deportivo Fabril
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Deportivo Fabril

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Deportivo Fabril come out ahead of Dubra SD on wins alone.
  • 47% — that's where the model lands on Deportivo Fabril taking it.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 1 2016/2017 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Dubra SD Clean Sheet 13%
Deportivo Fabril Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dubra SD Deportivo Fabril
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 4 17
Draws 4 8
Losses 22 6
Goals Scored 0.97 1.65
Goals Conceded 2.33 0.84
Expected Goals (xG) 0.92 1.68
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 14, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Deportivo Fabril vs Dubra SD
2:0
Dec 18, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Dubra SD vs Deportivo Fabril
0:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dubra SD 11 / 100
Deportivo Fabril 75 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dubra SD Deportivo Fabril

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Deportivo Fabril Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Deportivo Fabril conceded in 61% of 31 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.50 goals when they meet.

Dubra SD scored in 57% of their last 30 games.

Recent resilience: Dubra SD stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Deportivo Fabril
0 Goals Scored 2.25
0 Goals Conceded 0.63
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Dubra SD

(Home)
14 May
Deportivo Fabril
2 : 0
Dubra SD
07 May
Dubra SD
3 : 2
Barbadas-Bentraces
30 Apr
SD Negreira
3 : 3
Dubra SD
23 Apr
Dubra SD
0 : 3
Cerceda
13 Apr
CD Choco
2 : 0
Dubra SD
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Deportivo Fabril

(Away)
26 Sept
Deportivo Fabril
2 : 0
Real Union
20 Sept
Ath Bilbao B
2 : 2
Deportivo Fabril
13 Sept
Deportivo Fabril
2 : 1
Ponferradina
06 Sept
Deportivo Fabril
1 : 1
Cacereno
29 Aug
AD Merida
1 : 0
Deportivo Fabril
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