Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Dubrava Zagreb vs Bijelo Brdo

Croatia Croatia

Prva NL 2025/2026 SRC Pescenica, Zagreb
Our Tip

Match Events

27' Event
Pasaricek L.
45'
Vrbanac K.
46'
Sub
Svraka F. In: Pecek F.
Out: Svraka F.

AI Match Summary

Bijelo Brdo in this Prva NL 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Bijelo Brdo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%
Dubrava Zagreb
35%
Draws
46%
Bijelo Brdo
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Bijelo Brdo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Bijelo Brdo have won more games recently than Dubrava Zagreb.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • Regular Prva NL 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 52%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Dubrava Zagreb Clean Sheet 23%
Bijelo Brdo Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dubrava Zagreb Bijelo Brdo
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 8 11
Draws 9 8
Losses 15 11
Goals Scored 1.19 0.83
Goals Conceded 1.88 0.9
Expected Goals (xG) 0.92 1.03
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 7, 2026 Prva NL
Dubrava Zagreb vs Bijelo Brdo
1:2
Nov 29, 2025 Prva NL
Bijelo Brdo vs Dubrava Zagreb
0:0
Sep 17, 2025 Prva NL
Dubrava Zagreb vs Bijelo Brdo
1:0
May 30, 2025 Prva NL
Bijelo Brdo vs Dubrava Zagreb
2:1
Nov 9, 2024 Prva NL
Bijelo Brdo vs Dubrava Zagreb
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Dubrava Zagreb Compare

Top Goalscorer Pasaricek L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.71
Avg xA / game 0.46

Bijelo Brdo Compare

Top Goalscorer Vrbanac K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Akanni S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.94
Avg xA / game 0.57

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dubrava Zagreb 37 / 100
Bijelo Brdo 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dubrava Zagreb Bijelo Brdo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bijelo Brdo Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Dubrava Zagreb scored in 69% of their last 32 outings.

Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.

Bijelo Brdo's defensive record shows goals conceded in 57% of 30 matches.

Recent resilience: Dubrava Zagreb stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Dubrava Zagreb VS Bijelo Brdo
1.13 Goals Scored 0.43
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.71
75% Over 1.5 29%
50% Over 2.5 14%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Dubrava Zagreb

(Home)
02 Sept
Jadran Luka Ploce
1 : 1
Dubrava Zagreb
28 Aug
Dubrava Zagreb
1 : 2
Croatia Zmijavci
22 Aug
Cibalia
2 : 1
Dubrava Zagreb
14 Aug
Segesta
2 : 0
Dubrava Zagreb
01 Aug
Mladost Zdralovi
1 : 1
Dubrava Zagreb
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Bijelo Brdo

(Away)
02 Sept
Croatia Zmijavci
1 : 0
Bijelo Brdo
28 Aug
Bijelo Brdo
1 : 1
Cibalia
23 Aug
Bijelo Brdo
1 : 0
Dinamo Zagreb 2
26 Jul
Kom Podgorica
0 : 0
Bijelo Brdo
30 May
Bijelo Brdo
0 : 1
Croatia Zmijavci
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rudes 33 19 8 6 49:29 65
2 Cibalia 33 17 7 9 51:33 58
3 Sesvete 33 16 9 8 42:28 57
4 Dugopolje 33 16 6 11 40:38 54
5 Dubrava Zagreb 33 13 8 12 39:46 47
6 Bijelo Brdo 33 11 9 13 30:30 42
7 Karlovac 33 13 3 17 40:45 42
8 Opatija 33 10 10 13 31:38 40
9 Orijent 33 9 11 13 40:41 38
10 Hrvace 33 10 6 17 36:48 36
11 Croatia Zmijavci 33 9 8 16 32:46 35
12 Jarun 33 8 9 16 34:42 33
Relegation - Druga NL (Main)
Promotion - HNL (Main)