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Dubrava Zagreb vs Croatia Zmijavci

Croatia Croatia

Prva NL 2025/2026 SRC Pescenica, Zagreb
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Matic A.
10' Event
Pernar B.
36'
Sub
Zahora L. In: Jazvic F.
Out: Zahora L.

AI Match Summary

The Prva NL 2025/2026 game between Dubrava Zagreb and Croatia Zmijavci finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Dubrava Zagreb.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Dubrava Zagreb
6%
Draws
90%
Croatia Zmijavci
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Croatia Zmijavci

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Croatia Zmijavci carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Croatia Zmijavci taking it.
  • Regular Prva NL 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
Dubrava Zagreb Clean Sheet 13%
Croatia Zmijavci Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dubrava Zagreb Croatia Zmijavci
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 11
Draws 8 6
Losses 12 13
Goals Scored 1.63 1.25
Goals Conceded 2.13 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.13 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 21, 2026 Prva NL
Dubrava Zagreb vs Croatia Zmijavci
2:1
Oct 26, 2025 Prva NL
Croatia Zmijavci vs Dubrava Zagreb
0:1
Aug 16, 2025 Prva NL
Dubrava Zagreb vs Croatia Zmijavci
0:3
Apr 26, 2025 Prva NL
Dubrava Zagreb vs Croatia Zmijavci
1:0
Mar 16, 2025 Prva NL
Croatia Zmijavci vs Dubrava Zagreb
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Dubrava Zagreb Compare

Top Goalscorer Matic A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Pernar B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Croatia Zmijavci Compare

Top Goalscorer Pavlek D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dubrava Zagreb 10 / 100
Croatia Zmijavci 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dubrava Zagreb Croatia Zmijavci

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CRO Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Dubrava Zagreb scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

Croatia Zmijavci's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Solid form: Dubrava Zagreb remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Dubrava Zagreb VS Croatia Zmijavci
1.63 Goals Scored 1.25
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Dubrava Zagreb

(Home)
25 Jul
Dubrava Zagreb
0 : 1
Kustosija
22 Jul
Dragovoljac
0 : 0
Dubrava Zagreb
18 Jul
NK Krka
2 : 1
Dubrava Zagreb
15 Jul
Dubrava Zagreb
0 : 6
Segesta
30 May
Hrvace
1 : 2
Dubrava Zagreb
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Croatia Zmijavci

(Away)
18 Jul
Croatia Zmijavci
2 : 1
Siroki Brijeg
30 May
Bijelo Brdo
0 : 1
Croatia Zmijavci
24 May
Croatia Zmijavci
3 : 0
Hrvace
15 May
Opatija
3 : 1
Croatia Zmijavci
10 May
Croatia Zmijavci
1 : 2
Jarun
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Rudes33198649:2965
2Cibalia33177951:3358
3Sesvete33169842:2857
4Dugopolje331661140:3854
5Dubrava Zagreb331381239:4647
6Bijelo Brdo331191330:3042
7Karlovac331331740:4542
8Opatija3310101331:3840
9Orijent339111340:4138
10Hrvace331061736:4836
11Croatia Zmijavci33981632:4635
12Jarun33891634:4233
Relegation - Druga NL (Main)
Promotion - HNL (Main)