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Dudelange vs UNA Strassen

Luxembourg Luxembourg

BGL Ligue 2025/2026 Stade Jos Nosbaum, Dudelange
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Perez N.
Assist: Goncalves J.
33'
Zenadji A.
42'
Morren C.

AI Match Summary

The BGL Ligue 2025/2026 game between Dudelange and UNA Strassen finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Dudelange
22%
Draws
18%
UNA Strassen
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Dudelange

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Dudelange haven't matched UNA Strassen's recent run of results.
  • Dudelange are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Dudelange Clean Sheet 16%
UNA Strassen Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dudelange UNA Strassen
Matches Played 32 33
Wins 19 20
Draws 5 7
Losses 8 6
Goals Scored 1.63 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.75 0.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 0.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 17, 2026 BGL Ligue
Dudelange vs UNA Strassen
1:1
Dec 7, 2025 BGL Ligue
UNA Strassen vs Dudelange
1:4
Apr 23, 2025 Luxembourg Cup
Dudelange vs UNA Strassen
4:2
Mar 16, 2025 BGL Ligue
Dudelange vs UNA Strassen
1:3
Sep 21, 2024 BGL Ligue
UNA Strassen vs Dudelange
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Dudelange Compare

Top Goalscorer Delorge K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

UNA Strassen Compare

Top Goalscorer Perez N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dudelange 57 / 100
UNA Strassen 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dudelange UNA Strassen

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick DUD Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Dudelange's goal record stands at 84% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.60 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Dudelange remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

UNA Strassen let in goals in 39% of their last 33 matches.

Scoring Trends

Dudelange VS UNA Strassen
1.63 Goals Scored 1.25
1.75 Goals Conceded 0.25
100% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 13%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Dudelange

(Home)
22 Jul
Dudelange
2 : 0
FC Mamer
18 Jul
Dudelange
5 : 1
Hostert
11 Jul
Dudelange
4 : 0
Virton
04 Jul
Dudelange
2 : 1
Rumelange
01 Jul
Differdange
2 : 0
Dudelange
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UNA Strassen

(Away)
14 Jul
La Fiorita
0 : 2
UNA Strassen
07 Jul
UNA Strassen
1 : 0
La Fiorita
27 Jun
UNA Strassen
2 : 0
Victoria Rosport
19 Jun
Differdange
1 : 1
UNA Strassen
23 May
UNA Strassen
0 : 0
Mondorf
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Bissen30205570:2765
2Differdange30198363:2265
3Mondorf30193851:2460
4UNA Strassen30177657:2658
5Dudelange30177659:3858
6Jeunesse Esch3010101035:3440
7Racing Luxembourg301171248:5040
8Kaerjeng301151443:4838
9Hostert301061435:5636
10Victoria Rosport301051533:5035
11Progres Niedercorn30971444:4734
12Hesperange30951631:4632
13Jeunesse Canach30941729:4431
14FC Mamer30851733:5929
15Union Titus Petange30671726:4925
16FC Rodange 9130671728:6525
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - BGL Ligue 2025/2026 (Relegation)