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Dudelange vs UNA Strassen

Luxembourg Luxembourg

BGL Ligue 2025/2026 Stade Jos Nosbaum, Dudelange
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Perez N.
Assist: Goncalves J.
33'
Zenadji A.
42'
Morren C.

AI Match Summary

The BGL Ligue 2025/2026 game between Dudelange and UNA Strassen finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

24%
Dudelange
15%
Draws
61%
UNA Strassen
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: UNA Strassen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

61% / High Confidence
  • UNA Strassen have managed 1.54 goals a game lately — Dudelange are scoring more at 1.57.
  • UNA Strassen are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Dudelange Clean Sheet 16%
UNA Strassen Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dudelange UNA Strassen
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 16 16
Draws 3 6
Losses 11 6
Goals Scored 1.57 1.54
Goals Conceded 1.33 0.68
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 9, 2026 BGL Ligue
Dudelange vs UNA Strassen
0:2
May 17, 2026 BGL Ligue
Dudelange vs UNA Strassen
1:1
Dec 7, 2025 BGL Ligue
UNA Strassen vs Dudelange
1:4
Apr 23, 2025 Luxembourg Cup
Dudelange vs UNA Strassen
4:2
Mar 16, 2025 BGL Ligue
Dudelange vs UNA Strassen
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Dudelange Compare

Top Goalscorer Delorge K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

UNA Strassen Compare

Top Goalscorer Perez N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dudelange 19 / 100
UNA Strassen 57 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dudelange UNA Strassen

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick UNA Strassen Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.80 goals when they meet.

Dudelange's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: UNA Strassen conceded in 36% of 28 recent games.

Dudelange went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Dudelange VS UNA Strassen
1.5 Goals Scored 1.63
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.75
88% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Dudelange

(Home)
06 Sept
Dudelange
1 : 3
Racing Luxembourg
30 Aug
Wiltz
1 : 2
Dudelange
23 Aug
Dudelange
3 : 2
Rumelange
16 Aug
Mondorf
1 : 0
Dudelange
09 Aug
Dudelange
0 : 2
UNA Strassen
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UNA Strassen

(Away)
06 Sept
FC Residence Walferdange
0 : 3
UNA Strassen
30 Aug
UNA Strassen
2 : 1
Bissen
22 Aug
Progres Niedercorn
0 : 1
UNA Strassen
16 Aug
UNA Strassen
1 : 0
Jeunesse Esch
09 Aug
Dudelange
0 : 2
UNA Strassen
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bissen 30 20 5 5 70:27 65
2 Differdange 30 19 8 3 63:22 65
3 Mondorf 30 19 3 8 51:24 60
4 UNA Strassen 30 17 7 6 57:26 58
5 Dudelange 30 17 7 6 59:38 58
6 Jeunesse Esch 30 10 10 10 35:34 40
7 Racing Luxembourg 30 11 7 12 48:50 40
8 Kaerjeng 30 11 5 14 43:48 38
9 Hostert 30 10 6 14 35:56 36
10 Victoria Rosport 30 10 5 15 33:50 35
11 Progres Niedercorn 30 9 7 14 44:47 34
12 Hesperange 30 9 5 16 31:46 32
13 Jeunesse Canach 30 9 4 17 29:44 31
14 FC Mamer 30 8 5 17 33:59 29
15 Union Titus Petange 30 6 7 17 26:49 25
16 FC Rodange 91 30 6 7 17 28:65 25
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - BGL Ligue 2025/2026 (Relegation)