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Dugo Selo vs Bjelovar

Croatia Croatia

Druga NL
Sat, Oct 10, 2026
VS
01:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Dugo Selo host Bjelovar in the Druga NL. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Bjelovar have shipped 1.19 goals a game lately, while Dugo Selo have conceded 1.24 and scored 0.72. Past meetings favor Bjelovar slightly — 1-4-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 25, 2026, ending 3:0. xG projections (1.00 - 1.55) back Bjelovar to edge this. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Dugo Selo
15%
Draws
45%
Bjelovar
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Bjelovar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Dugo Selo haven't matched Bjelovar's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Bjelovar's way, sitting at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Bjelovar here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.2%
Dugo Selo Clean Sheet 15%
Bjelovar Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dugo Selo Bjelovar
Matches Played 29 36
Wins 9 15
Draws 6 8
Losses 14 13
Goals Scored 0.72 1.64
Goals Conceded 1.24 1.19
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.55
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 25, 2026 Druga NL
Bjelovar vs Dugo Selo
3:0
Oct 25, 2025 Druga NL
Dugo Selo vs Bjelovar
0:2
Mar 1, 2025 Druga NL
Bjelovar vs Dugo Selo
3:2
Aug 31, 2024 Druga NL
Dugo Selo vs Bjelovar
2:5
Apr 20, 2024 Druga NL
Dugo Selo vs Bjelovar
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dugo Selo 27 / 100
Bjelovar 39 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dugo Selo Bjelovar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bjelovar Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.80 goals as a typical output.

Bjelovar has conceded goals in 61% of their last 36 outings.

Dugo Selo went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Dugo Selo scored in 48% of their last 29 games.

Scoring Trends

Dugo Selo VS Bjelovar
1 Goals Scored 2.25
0.86 Goals Conceded 1
57% Over 1.5 88%
43% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Dugo Selo

(Home)
26 Sept
Dugo Selo
3 : 0
NK Inker Zapresic
18 Sept
Lucko
0 : 1
Dugo Selo
12 Sept
Dugo Selo
1 : 2
Varteks Varazdin (2011)
04 Sept
Uljanik Pula
3 : 0
Dugo Selo
29 Aug
Dugo Selo
1 : 0
Uskok Klis
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Bjelovar

(Away)
26 Sept
Bjelovar
1 : 1
Varteks Varazdin (2011)
19 Sept
Uskok Klis
2 : 3
Bjelovar
15 Sept
Bjelovar
0 : 2
Karlovac
12 Sept
Bjelovar
4 : 0
Grobnican
05 Sept
Radnik Krizevci
1 : 4
Bjelovar
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bjelovar 6 4 1 1 16:9 13
2 Uskok Klis 6 4 0 2 14:7 12
3 Uljanik Pula 6 3 2 1 14:13 11
4 Jarun 6 2 4 0 14:10 10
5 Trnje 6 3 1 2 10:7 10
6 Radnik Krizevci 6 3 1 2 10:9 10
7 Dugo Selo 6 3 1 2 7:6 10
8 Zagora 6 2 3 1 17:12 9
9 Solin 6 2 2 2 9:9 8
10 NK Inker Zapresic 6 2 1 3 9:11 7
11 Dragovoljac 6 2 1 3 5:8 7
12 Grobnican 6 2 1 3 8:13 7
13 Lucko 6 1 2 3 7:8 5
14 Slavonija Pozega 6 1 2 3 11:13 5
15 NK Koprivnica 6 1 1 4 8:16 4
16 Varteks Varazdin (2011) 6 1 1 4 4:12 4
Promotion - Prva NL 2027/2028 (Main)