Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Dugo Selo vs Vrbovec

Croatia Croatia

3. HNL Center
Dugo Selo Logo

Dugo Selo

2 - 0
FT
Vrbovec Logo

Vrbovec

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Dugo Selo in this 3. HNL Center matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Dugo Selo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Dugo Selo
15%
Draws
37%
Vrbovec
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Dugo Selo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Dugo Selo lately — more wins on the board than Vrbovec.
  • 48% — that's where the model lands on Dugo Selo taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Dugo Selo Clean Sheet 12%
Vrbovec Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dugo Selo Vrbovec
Matches Played 44 30
Wins 17 12
Draws 10 6
Losses 17 12
Goals Scored 1.02 1.73
Goals Conceded 1.16 1.8
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 14, 2022 3. HNL Center
Dugo Selo vs Vrbovec
2:0
Nov 6, 2021 3. HNL Center
Vrbovec vs Dugo Selo
3:1
May 15, 2021 3. HNL Center
Vrbovec vs Dugo Selo
5:0
Oct 24, 2020 3. HNL Center
Dugo Selo vs Vrbovec
4:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dugo Selo 65 / 100
Vrbovec 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dugo Selo Vrbovec

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Dugo Selo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vrbovec has conceded goals in 87% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.75 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Dugo Selo scored in 61% of their last 44 outings.

Dugo Selo has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Dugo Selo VS Vrbovec
0.5 Goals Scored 2
1.5 Goals Conceded 3.5
63% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 100%
13% Over 3.5 100%

Recent Form & Match History

Dugo Selo

(Home)
26 Sept
Dugo Selo
3 : 0
NK Inker Zapresic
18 Sept
Lucko
0 : 1
Dugo Selo
12 Sept
Dugo Selo
1 : 2
Varteks Varazdin (2011)
04 Sept
Uljanik Pula
3 : 0
Dugo Selo
29 Aug
Dugo Selo
1 : 0
Uskok Klis
Page 1 of 9

Vrbovec

(Away)
16 Sept
Vrbovec
0 : 6
Rijeka
26 Aug
Vrbovec
4 : 1
Daruvar
28 May
Kurilovec
3 : 1
Vrbovec
21 May
Vrbovec
1 : 1
Gaj Mace
18 May
Vrbovec
4 : 1
Tresnjevka
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Zagorec Krapina 34 24 6 4 82:38 78
2 Dugo Selo 34 20 8 6 61:31 68
3 Trnje 34 18 9 7 64:43 63
4 Karlovac 34 17 11 6 68:24 62
5 Lucko 34 18 7 9 65:36 61
6 Maksimir 34 17 6 11 55:40 57
7 Vrbovec 34 14 7 13 56:59 49
8 Ravnice 34 11 14 9 37:42 47
9 Gaj Mace 34 13 7 14 53:51 46
10 HASK 34 11 12 11 46:45 45
11 Vrapce 34 11 10 13 56:48 43
12 Bistra 34 10 11 13 53:56 41
13 Kurilovec 34 8 12 14 39:44 36
14 Lukavec 34 8 9 17 37:69 33
15 Tresnjevka 34 7 8 19 53:78 29
16 Ponikve 34 7 7 20 32:53 28
17 Segesta 34 6 8 20 33:76 26
18 Mladost Petrinja 34 5 10 19 32:89 25
Promotion - 3. HNL - Promotion Play Offs (Main)