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Dugopolje vs Mladost DG

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Dugopolje play Mladost DG in the Club Friendly. It looks like a close match. Recently, Dugopolje averaged 1.47 goals scored and 1.13 conceded. Mladost DG averaged 1.17 goals scored and 1.57 conceded. In past meetings, Dugopolje won 1, Mladost DG won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jan 24, 2026 ended 5:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.63 for Dugopolje and 1.25 for Mladost DG. This points to a Dugopolje double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

55%
Dugopolje
20%
Draws
25%
Mladost DG
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Dugopolje

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

83% / High Confidence
  • Dugopolje picked up more points recently compared to Mladost DG.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.63 vs 1.25 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 54%
Over 3.5 Goals 32%
Over 4.5 Goals 16%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 52%
Dugopolje Clean Sheet 19%
Mladost DG Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 62%
Second Half Goal 66%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dugopolje Mladost DG
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 16 9
Draws 6 6
Losses 8 15
Goals Scored 1.47 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.57
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 24, 2026 Club Friendly
Dugopolje vs Mladost DG
5:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Dugopolje Compare

Top Goalscorer Tudor R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Peric L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Mladost DG Compare

Top Goalscorer Cordoba N. A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Pavlicevic N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dugopolje 53 / 100
Mladost DG 25 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dugopolje Mladost DG

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Dugopolje Win (1)
Secondary Pick Dugopolje & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +17.1%
2.13
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +12.3%
2.08
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Dugopolje attacking → ← attacking Mladost DG

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Dugopolje scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

Mladost DG let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 7.00 goals.

Dugopolje went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Mladost DG lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Match Risk Analysis

Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability

Risk Level: Low
Risk Factor

Busy schedule: Managers might rest key players, which can affect team cohesion.

Risk Factor

Friendly match. Both teams will likely test tactics and rotate squads rather than push for a result.

Risk Factor

Pressure: A tense match where mistakes or cards can change things quickly.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

54 Points in last 5 33
2.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.13
1.38 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.25