Sport Picks
Duhok vs Al Quwa Al Jawiya - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Iraq
Stars League 
Match Events
16'
16'
Abdulameer S.
Assist: Hatem A. H.
45'
45'
Al Mawas M.
Penalty Missed
74'
74'
Igor
(Penalty)
AI Match Summary
Duhok in this Stars League matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Duhok.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
37%
30%
33%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Duhok
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
37%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Al Quwa Al Jawiya lately — more wins on the board than Duhok.
- 37% — that's where the model lands on Duhok taking it.
- Regular Stars League form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 38%
Duhok Clean Sheet 68%
Al Quwa Al Jawiya Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Duhok | Al Quwa Al Jawiya |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 27 |
| Wins | 9 | 14 |
| Draws | 11 | 9 |
| Losses | 8 | 4 |
| Goals Scored | 1.32 | 1.74 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.29 | 1.11 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.31 | 1.19 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 3, 2026 Stars League
Duhok vs Al Quwa Al Jawiya
2:1
Apr 18, 2026 Stars League
Duhok vs Al Quwa Al Jawiya
1:2
Dec 30, 2025 Stars League
Al Quwa Al Jawiya vs Duhok
0:2
Jul 12, 2025 Iraq Cup
Duhok vs Al Quwa Al Jawiya
3:1
May 19, 2025 Stars League
Al Quwa Al Jawiya vs Duhok
4:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Duhok Compare
Top Goalscorer Igor
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66
Al Quwa Al Jawiya Compare
Top Goalscorer Abdulameer S.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Duhok 50 / 100
Al Quwa Al Jawiya 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Duhok Al Quwa Al Jawiya
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Duhok Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Duhok's goal record stands at 82% scoring rate across 28 recent games.
Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.
Al Quwa Al Jawiya has conceded goals in 74% of their last 27 outings.
Solid form: Duhok remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Duhok VS Al Quwa Al Jawiya
1.38 Goals Scored 1
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Duhok
(Home) 08 Oct
Duhok
3 : 0 Al Zawraa
18 Sept
Al Minaa
1 : 1 Duhok
13 Sept
Al Karkh
3 : 2 Duhok
08 Sept
Duhok
1 : 1 Ghaz Al Shamal
03 Sept
Duhok
2 : 1 Al Quwa Al Jawiya
Page 1 of 6
08 Oct
Duhok
3 : 0 Al Zawraa
08 Sept
Duhok
1 : 1 Ghaz Al Shamal
03 Sept
Duhok
2 : 1 Al Quwa Al Jawiya
22 Aug
Duhok
3 : 3 Al Talaba
16 Aug
Duhok
1 : 1 Al Gharraf
Page 1 of 3
Al Quwa Al Jawiya
(Away) 07 Oct
Al Mosul
0 : 3 Al Quwa Al Jawiya
19 Sept
Al Quwa Al Jawiya
1 : 1 Diyala
14 Sept
Neftchi Fargona
1 : 0 Al Quwa Al Jawiya
10 Sept
Al Quwa Al Jawiya
0 : 1 Al Zawraa
07 Sept
Karbala
2 : 3 Al Quwa Al Jawiya
Page 1 of 6
07 Oct
Al Mosul
0 : 3 Al Quwa Al Jawiya
14 Sept
Neftchi Fargona
1 : 0 Al Quwa Al Jawiya
07 Sept
Karbala
2 : 3 Al Quwa Al Jawiya
03 Sept
Duhok
2 : 1 Al Quwa Al Jawiya
21 Aug
Erbil
1 : 1 Al Quwa Al Jawiya
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al Karma | 9 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 17:7 | 23 |
| 2 | Newroz | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 14:4 | 18 |
| 3 | Al Zawraa | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 15:6 | 18 |
| 4 | Erbil | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 13:4 | 18 |
| 5 | Al Naft | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 11:5 | 18 |
| 6 | Al Shorta | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 9:4 | 16 |
| 7 | Duhok | 9 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 14:11 | 12 |
| 8 | Al Minaa | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 10:10 | 12 |
| 9 | Al Quwa Al Jawiya | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 14:12 | 11 |
| 10 | Al Golan | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 8:9 | 11 |
| 11 | Diyala | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 13:16 | 9 |
| 12 | Zakho | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 7:12 | 9 |
| 13 | Ghaz Al Shamal | 9 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 4:7 | 8 |
| 14 | Al Kahraba | 9 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 6:10 | 8 |
| 15 | Al Talaba | 9 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 9:14 | 8 |
| 16 | Naft Missan | 9 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 7:12 | 8 |
| 17 | Al Mosul | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 9:15 | 8 |
| 18 | Al Karkh | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 12:17 | 7 |
| 19 | Al Gharraf | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 4:12 | 6 |
| 20 | Karbala | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 6:15 | 6 |
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Relegation - Stars League (Relegation)
