Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Duhok vs Al Talaba

Iraq Iraq

Stars League
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Hadi S.
Assist: Ageed S.
19' Event
Rasheed S.
Assist: Jabbar H.
32' Event
Rasheed S.
Assist: Salmani J.

AI Match Summary

The Stars League game between Duhok and Al Talaba finished 3-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Duhok
35%
Draws
32%
Al Talaba
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • Al Talaba carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Duhok are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • Regular Stars League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 38%
Duhok Clean Sheet 68%
Al Talaba Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Duhok Al Talaba
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 8 10
Draws 11 11
Losses 10 8
Goals Scored 1.31 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.45 1.31
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 22, 2026 Stars League
Duhok vs Al Talaba
3:3
Apr 4, 2026 Stars League
Duhok vs Al Talaba
1:0
Oct 3, 2025 Stars League
Al Talaba vs Duhok
2:1
May 14, 2025 Stars League
Duhok vs Al Talaba
1:0
May 10, 2025 Stars League
Al Talaba vs Duhok
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Duhok Compare

Top Goalscorer Hammood Y.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Hadi S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Al Talaba Compare

Top Goalscorer Rasheed S.
3 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Duhok 68 / 100
Al Talaba 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Duhok Al Talaba

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Duhok Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Duhok scored in 83% of their last 29 games.

Al Talaba let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Solid form: Duhok remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Duhok VS Al Talaba
1.13 Goals Scored 1
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Duhok

(Home)
18 Sept
Al Minaa
1 : 1
Duhok
13 Sept
Al Karkh
3 : 2
Duhok
08 Sept
Duhok
1 : 1
Ghaz Al Shamal
03 Sept
Duhok
2 : 1
Al Quwa Al Jawiya
30 Aug
Newroz
0 : 0
Duhok
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Al Talaba

(Away)
18 Sept
Al Talaba
2 : 2
Al Golan
13 Sept
Naft Missan
2 : 0
Al Talaba
09 Sept
Al Talaba
3 : 2
Al Karkh
05 Sept
Zakho
0 : 0
Al Talaba
31 Aug
Al Talaba
0 : 0
Al Naft
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al-Karma 8 6 2 0 14:5 20
2 Al Zawraa 8 5 3 0 15:3 18
3 Erbil 8 5 2 1 12:3 17
4 Newroz 8 4 3 1 13:4 15
5 Al Shorta 8 4 3 1 9:4 15
6 Al Naft 8 4 3 1 9:5 15
7 Al Golan 8 2 4 2 8:9 10
8 Duhok 8 1 6 1 11:11 9
9 Diyala 8 2 3 3 13:14 9
10 Al Minaa 8 2 3 3 8:10 9
11 Zakho 8 2 3 3 7:11 9
12 Al Quwa Al Jawiya 8 1 5 2 11:12 8
13 Ghaz Al Shamal 8 1 5 2 4:5 8
14 Al Mosul 8 2 2 4 9:12 8
15 Al Karkh 8 2 1 5 10:14 7
16 Al Kahraba 8 1 4 3 6:10 7
17 Al Talaba 8 1 4 3 9:14 7
18 Naft Missan 8 1 4 3 6:11 7
19 Al Gharraf 8 1 2 5 4:12 5
20 Karbala 8 1 2 5 6:15 5
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Relegation - Stars League (Relegation)