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Duhok vs Al Talaba - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Iraq Iraq

Stars League
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Hadi S.
Assist: Ageed S.
19' Event
Rasheed S.
Assist: Jabbar H.
32' Event
Rasheed S.
Assist: Salmani J.

AI Match Summary

The Stars League game between Duhok and Al Talaba finished 3-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Duhok
30%
Draws
35%
Al Talaba
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Duhok carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Duhok are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Regular Stars League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36.8%
Duhok Clean Sheet 68%
Al Talaba Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Duhok Al Talaba
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 9
Draws 11 14
Losses 9 7
Goals Scored 1.4 1.33
Goals Conceded 1.3 1.3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 22, 2026 Stars League
Duhok vs Al Talaba
3:3
Apr 4, 2026 Stars League
Duhok vs Al Talaba
1:0
Oct 3, 2025 Stars League
Al Talaba vs Duhok
2:1
May 14, 2025 Stars League
Duhok vs Al Talaba
1:0
May 10, 2025 Stars League
Al Talaba vs Duhok
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Duhok Compare

Top Goalscorer Hammood Y.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Hadi S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Al Talaba Compare

Top Goalscorer Rasheed S.
3 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Duhok 50 / 100
Al Talaba 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Duhok Al Talaba

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Duhok Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Duhok scored in 80% of their last 30 games.

Al Talaba let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Solid form: Duhok remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Duhok VS Al Talaba
1.75 Goals Scored 0.88
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.75
88% Over 1.5 38%
50% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Duhok

(Home)
05 Nov
Al Mosul
0 : 1
Duhok
30 Oct
Al Karma
1 : 0
Duhok
23 Oct
Duhok
5 : 2
Karbala
17 Oct
Al Golan
2 : 0
Duhok
08 Oct
Duhok
3 : 0
Al Zawraa
Page 1 of 6

Al Talaba

(Away)
06 Nov
Al Talaba
2 : 2
Ghaz Al Shamal
30 Oct
Karbala
2 : 2
Al Talaba
22 Oct
Al Talaba
1 : 0
Al Quwa Al Jawiya
16 Oct
Al Kahraba
0 : 1
Al Talaba
08 Oct
Al Talaba
0 : 0
Al Shorta
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Karma 13 9 3 1 23:10 30
2 Newroz 13 7 5 1 18:5 26
3 Al Naft 13 7 4 2 15:7 25
4 Al Shorta 13 6 6 1 15:7 24
5 Al Golan 13 6 5 2 19:12 23
6 Al Zawraa 13 6 3 4 17:12 21
7 Erbil 13 5 5 3 16:9 20
8 Duhok 13 4 6 3 20:16 18
9 Al Minaa 13 4 5 4 12:13 17
10 Ghaz Al Shamal 13 3 7 3 9:10 16
11 Al Talaba 13 3 7 3 15:18 16
12 Diyala 13 3 5 5 15:18 14
13 Al Gharraf 13 3 5 5 9:15 14
14 Al Quwa Al Jawiya 13 2 7 4 14:14 13
15 Zakho 13 3 4 6 10:17 13
16 Al Karkh 13 3 3 7 16:21 12
17 Al Mosul 13 3 3 7 13:21 12
18 Al Kahraba 13 2 5 6 9:15 11
19 Naft Missan 13 1 6 6 8:19 9
20 Karbala 13 1 4 8 11:25 7
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Relegation - Stars League (Relegation)