Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Duhok vs Al Zawraa

Iraq Iraq

Stars League
Fri, Oct 9, 2026
VS
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Duhok host Al Zawraa in the Stars League. Little to choose between these two on current form. Recent numbers: Duhok at 1.28 goals for, 1.38 against; Al Zawraa at 1.45 for, 0.81 against. Past meetings favor Duhok slightly — 2-1-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 1, 2026, ending 2:2. The numbers (0.88 xG vs 1.19) point toward Al Zawraa. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
Duhok
35%
Draws
44%
Al Zawraa
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Al Zawraa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

44% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Al Zawraa lately — more wins on the board than Duhok.
  • Al Zawraa are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Duhok Clean Sheet 20%
Al Zawraa Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Duhok Al Zawraa
Matches Played 32 31
Wins 9 15
Draws 13 11
Losses 10 5
Goals Scored 1.28 1.45
Goals Conceded 1.38 0.81
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 1, 2026 Stars League
Al Zawraa vs Duhok
2:2
Jan 28, 2026 Stars League
Duhok vs Al Zawraa
0:0
Apr 3, 2025 Stars League
Al Zawraa vs Duhok
1:2
Sep 20, 2024 Stars League
Duhok vs Al Zawraa
0:1
Jul 19, 2024 Stars League
Al Zawraa vs Duhok
0:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Duhok 10 / 100
Al Zawraa 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Duhok Al Zawraa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al Zawraa Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Duhok's goal record stands at 81% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Recent resilience: Duhok stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Al Zawraa's defensive record shows goals conceded in 55% of 31 matches.

Scoring Trends

Duhok VS Al Zawraa
1.25 Goals Scored 1.5
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.5
75% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Duhok

(Home)
18 Sept
Al Minaa
1 : 1
Duhok
13 Sept
Al Karkh
3 : 2
Duhok
08 Sept
Duhok
1 : 1
Ghaz Al Shamal
03 Sept
Duhok
2 : 1
Al Quwa Al Jawiya
30 Aug
Newroz
0 : 0
Duhok
Page 1 of 7

Al Zawraa

(Away)
17 Sept
Al Zawraa
2 : 0
Al Gharraf
10 Sept
Al Quwa Al Jawiya
0 : 1
Al Zawraa
07 Sept
Al Zawraa
1 : 0
Al Kahraba
03 Sept
Al Mosul
2 : 2
Al Zawraa
29 Aug
Al Zawraa
4 : 0
Zakho
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al-Karma 8 6 2 0 14:5 20
2 Al Zawraa 8 5 3 0 15:3 18
3 Erbil 8 5 2 1 12:3 17
4 Newroz 8 4 3 1 13:4 15
5 Al Shorta 8 4 3 1 9:4 15
6 Al Naft 8 4 3 1 9:5 15
7 Al Golan 8 2 4 2 8:9 10
8 Duhok 8 1 6 1 11:11 9
9 Diyala 8 2 3 3 13:14 9
10 Al Minaa 8 2 3 3 8:10 9
11 Zakho 8 2 3 3 7:11 9
12 Al Quwa Al Jawiya 8 1 5 2 11:12 8
13 Ghaz Al Shamal 8 1 5 2 4:5 8
14 Al Mosul 8 2 2 4 9:12 8
15 Al Karkh 8 2 1 5 10:14 7
16 Al Kahraba 8 1 4 3 6:10 7
17 Al Talaba 8 1 4 3 9:14 7
18 Naft Missan 8 1 4 3 6:11 7
19 Al Gharraf 8 1 2 5 4:12 5
20 Karbala 8 1 2 5 6:15 5
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Relegation - Stars League (Relegation)