Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Duhok vs Diyala - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Iraq Iraq

Stars League
Sat, Nov 28, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Duhok host Diyala in the Stars League. Little to choose between these two on current form. Recent numbers: Duhok at 1.4 goals for, 1.3 against; Diyala at 1.03 for, 1.26 against. Past meetings favor Duhok slightly — 3-2-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jun 1, 2026, ending 1:0. Model xG sits at 1.56 vs 1.25, favoring Duhok. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Duhok
20%
Draws
29%
Diyala
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Duhok

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Duhok at 1.4 per game, Diyala at 1.03.
  • Duhok are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Duhok Clean Sheet 19%
Diyala Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Duhok Diyala
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 10 10
Draws 11 8
Losses 9 13
Goals Scored 1.4 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.3 1.26
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 1, 2026 Stars League
Diyala vs Duhok
1:0
Jan 17, 2026 Stars League
Duhok vs Diyala
1:0
Jun 1, 2025 Stars League
Diyala vs Duhok
2:1
Dec 8, 2024 Stars League
Duhok vs Diyala
3:1
Jul 1, 2011 Stars League
Duhok vs Diyala
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Duhok 76 / 100
Diyala 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Duhok Diyala

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Duhok Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Duhok scored in 80% of their last 30 games.

Diyala let in goals in 68% of their last 31 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Duhok remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Duhok VS Diyala
1.75 Goals Scored 1.25
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Duhok

(Home)
05 Nov
Al Mosul
0 : 1
Duhok
30 Oct
Al Karma
1 : 0
Duhok
23 Oct
Duhok
5 : 2
Karbala
17 Oct
Al Golan
2 : 0
Duhok
08 Oct
Duhok
3 : 0
Al Zawraa
Page 1 of 6

Diyala

(Away)
05 Nov
Diyala
0 : 0
Al Minaa
31 Oct
Al Zawraa
2 : 0
Diyala
24 Oct
Newroz
0 : 0
Diyala
16 Oct
Diyala
2 : 0
Naft Missan
09 Oct
Al Naft
2 : 0
Diyala
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Karma 13 9 3 1 23:10 30
2 Newroz 13 7 5 1 18:5 26
3 Al Naft 13 7 4 2 15:7 25
4 Al Shorta 13 6 6 1 15:7 24
5 Al Golan 13 6 5 2 19:12 23
6 Al Zawraa 13 6 3 4 17:12 21
7 Erbil 13 5 5 3 16:9 20
8 Duhok 13 4 6 3 20:16 18
9 Al Minaa 13 4 5 4 12:13 17
10 Ghaz Al Shamal 13 3 7 3 9:10 16
11 Al Talaba 13 3 7 3 15:18 16
12 Diyala 13 3 5 5 15:18 14
13 Al Gharraf 13 3 5 5 9:15 14
14 Al Quwa Al Jawiya 13 2 7 4 14:14 13
15 Zakho 13 3 4 6 10:17 13
16 Al Karkh 13 3 3 7 16:21 12
17 Al Mosul 13 3 3 7 13:21 12
18 Al Kahraba 13 2 5 6 9:15 11
19 Naft Missan 13 1 6 6 8:19 9
20 Karbala 13 1 4 8 11:25 7
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Relegation - Stars League (Relegation)