Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Duhok vs Erbil

Iraq Iraq

Stars League Duhok Stadium, Duhok
Our Tip

Match Events

67' Event
Barco C.
(Penalty)
84' Event
Temirov S.

AI Match Summary

Erbil in this Stars League matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Erbil.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

24%
Duhok
20%
Draws
56%
Erbil
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Erbil

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

56% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Erbil lately — more wins on the board than Duhok.
  • Erbil are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Erbil have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Duhok Clean Sheet 13%
Erbil Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Duhok Erbil
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 10 16
Draws 9 8
Losses 10 5
Goals Scored 1.21 1.55
Goals Conceded 1.21 0.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 5, 2026 Iraq Cup
Duhok vs Erbil
0:0
Mar 18, 2026 Stars League
Duhok vs Erbil
0:2
Jan 13, 2026 Stars League
Erbil vs Duhok
2:1
Jun 25, 2025 Stars League
Erbil vs Duhok
2:1
Sep 27, 2024 Stars League
Duhok vs Erbil
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Duhok Compare

Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Erbil Compare

Top Goalscorer Temirov S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Duhok 19 / 100
Erbil 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Duhok Erbil

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ERB Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Duhok's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Defensive concern: Erbil conceded in 62% of 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Duhok remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Duhok VS Erbil
1.75 Goals Scored 1.88
1.5 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Duhok

(Home)
20 Jul
Duhok
2 : 0
Tikves
01 Jun
Diyala
1 : 0
Duhok
27 May
Duhok
1 : 2
Al Kahraba
19 May
Al Naft
1 : 1
Duhok
15 May
Al Mosul
3 : 3
Duhok
Page 1 of 6

Erbil

(Away)
02 Jun
Erbil
3 : 1
Baghdad
28 May
Zakho
1 : 2
Erbil
20 May
Al Shorta
0 : 2
Erbil
16 May
Erbil
0 : 1
Newroz
11 May
Al Najaf
1 : 4
Erbil
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Quwa Al Jawiya 38 27 8 3 62:28 89
2 Al Shorta 38 24 8 6 69:32 80
3 Erbil 38 23 10 5 59:32 79
4 Al Zawraa 38 17 15 6 50:32 66
5 Al-Karma 38 17 14 7 53:26 65
6 Al Talaba 38 18 11 9 53:38 65
7 Al Karkh 38 16 12 10 51:41 60
8 Newroz 38 16 6 16 48:47 54
9 Zakho 38 14 11 13 49:45 53
10 Duhok 38 13 11 14 44:45 50
11 Diyala 38 13 10 15 40:42 49
12 Al Naft 38 11 15 12 33:34 48
13 Al Mosul 38 11 14 13 46:49 47
14 Al Gharraf 38 11 11 16 40:43 44
15 Naft Missan 38 11 10 17 48:57 43
16 Al Minaa 38 9 13 16 38:47 40
17 Al Kahraba 37 11 5 21 44:56 38
18 Baghdad 38 10 7 21 47:68 37
19 Al Najaf 37 6 5 26 31:68 23
20 Al-Qassim 38 0 6 32 21:96 6
Promotion - AFC Champions League (League phase)
Relegation - Stars League (Relegation)