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Duhok vs Ghaz Al Shamal Prediction & H2H Stats

Iraq Iraq

Stars League
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
21' Event
Sanchez B.
Own Goal

AI Match Summary

The Stars League game between Duhok and Ghaz Al Shamal finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Duhok
35%
Draws
32%
Ghaz Al Shamal
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Duhok come out ahead of Ghaz Al Shamal on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Stars League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 20%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 38.400000000000006%
Duhok Clean Sheet 68%
Ghaz Al Shamal Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Duhok Ghaz Al Shamal
Matches Played 29 8
Wins 8 1
Draws 11 5
Losses 10 2
Goals Scored 1.31 0.5
Goals Conceded 1.45 0.63
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 0.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 8, 2026 Stars League
Duhok vs Ghaz Al Shamal
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Duhok 41 / 100
Ghaz Al Shamal 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Duhok Ghaz Al Shamal

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Duhok Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Duhok scored in 83% of their last 29 outings.

Defensive concern: Ghaz Al Shamal conceded in 63% of 8 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Duhok remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Duhok VS Ghaz Al Shamal
1.13 Goals Scored 0.5
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.63
63% Over 1.5 38%
25% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Duhok

(Home)
18 Sept
Al Minaa
1 : 1
Duhok
13 Sept
Al Karkh
3 : 2
Duhok
08 Sept
Duhok
1 : 1
Ghaz Al Shamal
03 Sept
Duhok
2 : 1
Al Quwa Al Jawiya
30 Aug
Newroz
0 : 0
Duhok
Page 1 of 6

Ghaz Al Shamal

(Away)
19 Sept
Ghaz Al Shamal
0 : 0
Newroz
12 Sept
Al Shorta
0 : 0
Ghaz Al Shamal
08 Sept
Duhok
1 : 1
Ghaz Al Shamal
04 Sept
Ghaz Al Shamal
0 : 1
Al Golan
30 Aug
Al Gharraf
0 : 1
Ghaz Al Shamal
Page 1 of 2

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Karma 8 6 2 0 14:5 20
2 Al Zawraa 8 5 3 0 15:3 18
3 Erbil 8 5 2 1 12:3 17
4 Newroz 8 4 3 1 13:4 15
5 Al Shorta 8 4 3 1 9:4 15
6 Al Naft 8 4 3 1 9:5 15
7 Al Golan 8 2 4 2 8:9 10
8 Duhok 8 1 6 1 11:11 9
9 Diyala 8 2 3 3 13:14 9
10 Al Minaa 8 2 3 3 8:10 9
11 Zakho 8 2 3 3 7:11 9
12 Al Quwa Al Jawiya 8 1 5 2 11:12 8
13 Ghaz Al Shamal 8 1 5 2 4:5 8
14 Al Mosul 8 2 2 4 9:12 8
15 Al Karkh 8 2 1 5 10:14 7
16 Al Kahraba 8 1 4 3 6:10 7
17 Al Talaba 8 1 4 3 9:14 7
18 Naft Missan 8 1 4 3 6:11 7
19 Al Gharraf 8 1 2 5 4:12 5
20 Karbala 8 1 2 5 6:15 5
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Relegation - Stars League (Relegation)