Sport Picks

Germany

3. Liga 2025/2026 Schauinsland-Reisen-Arena

1. FC Schweinfurt

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Duisburg play 1. FC Schweinfurt in the 3. Liga 2025/2026. It looks like a close match. Recently, Duisburg averaged 1.61 goals scored and 1.43 conceded. 1. FC Schweinfurt averaged 1.41 goals scored and 2.19 conceded. In past meetings, Duisburg won 3, 1. FC Schweinfurt won 0, and they drew 2. Their last match on Feb 21, 2026 ended 3:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.69 for Duisburg and 1.44 for 1. FC Schweinfurt. This points to a Duisburg double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%

Duisburg

30%

Draws

20%

1. FC Schweinfurt

Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Duisburg

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

83% / High Confidence

Duisburg picked up more points recently compared to 1. FC Schweinfurt.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.69 vs 1.44 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 62%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 62%

Over 3.5 Goals 37%

Over 4.5 Goals 19%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63%

Duisburg Clean Sheet 16%

1. FC Schweinfurt Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 74%

Second Half Goal 78%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Duisburg	1. FC Schweinfurt
Matches Played	28	32
Wins	13	6
Draws	7	8
Losses	8	18
Goals Scored	1.61	1.41
Goals Conceded	1.43	2.19
Expected Goals (xG)	1.75	1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.13	1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 21, 2026 3. Liga

Duisburg vs 1. FC Schweinfurt

Possession: 52% - 50% Cards: 0 - 1

3:1

Sep 16, 2025 3. Liga

1. FC Schweinfurt vs Duisburg

Possession: 46% - 52% Cards: 0 - 4

0:3

Feb 8, 2002 2. Bundesliga

1. FC Schweinfurt vs Duisburg

Possession: 43% - 49% Cards: 0 - 3

2:2

Sep 7, 2001 2. Bundesliga

Duisburg vs 1. FC Schweinfurt

Possession: 41% - 49% Cards: 4 - 1

0:0

Mar 3, 1991 2. Bundesliga

Duisburg vs 1. FC Schweinfurt

Possession: 42% - 50% Cards: 1 - 3

2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Duisburg Compare

Top Goalscorer Noss C.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Casar A.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.35

Avg xA / game 0.88

1. FC Schweinfurt Compare

Top Goalscorer Osawe W.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.59

Avg xA / game 0.97

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Duisburg 48 / 100

1. FC Schweinfurt 20 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Duisburg 1. FC Schweinfurt

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Duisburg or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +19%

2.38

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +11%

1.79

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Duisburg attacking → ← attacking 1. FC Schweinfurt

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Duisburg scored in 71% of their last 28 games.

1. FC Schweinfurt let in goals in 91% of their last 32 matches.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Duisburg went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

1. FC Schweinfurt lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

46 Points in last 5 26

1.75 Goals expected (xG) 1.75

1.13 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.63

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	VfL Osnabruck	38	24	8	6	66:34	80
2	Energie Cottbus	38	21	9	8	72:51	72
3	RW Essen	38	20	10	8	78:66	70
4	Duisburg	38	19	11	8	66:49	68
5	Hansa Rostock	38	18	13	7	74:49	67
6	Verl	38	18	10	10	82:48	64
7	Alemannia Aachen	38	19	7	12	76:57	64
8	Munich 1860	38	15	11	12	54:53	56
9	Wehen	38	15	8	15	54:52	53
10	Mannheim	38	15	7	16	59:72	52
11	FC Viktoria Koln	38	15	6	17	51:53	51
12	Ingolstadt	38	13	10	15	65:56	49
13	Regensburg	38	14	7	17	54:58	49
14	VfB Stuttgart II	38	13	7	18	57:69	46
15	Saarbrucken	38	10	14	14	51:57	44
16	Hoffenheim II	38	12	7	19	65:71	43
17	TSV Havelse	38	9	8	21	57:89	35
18	Aue	38	7	13	18	51:70	34
19	Ulm	38	9	6	23	49:78	33
20	1. FC Schweinfurt	38	5	6	27	38:87	21