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Stadium Background

Duisburg vs Elversberg - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Germany Germany

DFB Pokal Schauinsland-Reisen-Arena, Duisburg
Our Tip

Match Events

23'
Coskun C.
38' Event
Schnellbacher L.
Assist: Keidel F.
54' Event
Lobinger L.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-3. The second leg ended 1-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Duisburg
20%
Draws
34%
Elversberg
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Duisburg

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Elversberg haven't matched Duisburg's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Duisburg a 46% chance of winning this.
  • Duisburg have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Elversberg, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
Duisburg Clean Sheet 17%
Elversberg Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Duisburg Elversberg
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 16 15
Draws 6 5
Losses 7 9
Goals Scored 2 2.21
Goals Conceded 1.45 1.52
Expected Goals (xG) 2.19 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 22, 2026 DFB Pokal
Duisburg vs Elversberg
1:3
Apr 25, 2023 3. Liga
Duisburg vs Elversberg
2:2
Oct 8, 2022 3. Liga
Elversberg vs Duisburg
3:0
Mar 26, 2014 3. Liga
Duisburg vs Elversberg
3:0
Oct 5, 2013 3. Liga
Elversberg vs Duisburg
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Duisburg Compare

Top Goalscorer Lobinger L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.68
Avg xA / game 1.09

Elversberg Compare

Top Goalscorer Onyeka F.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Schnellbacher L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Duisburg 66 / 100
Elversberg 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Duisburg Elversberg

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Duisburg Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Duisburg found the back of the net in 90% of recent matches (29 games).

Elversberg's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Solid form: Duisburg remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Duisburg VS Elversberg
2.25 Goals Scored 1.25
1.5 Goals Conceded 2.13
100% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Duisburg

(Home)
31 Oct
Duisburg
3 : 3
VfB Stuttgart II
24 Oct
Ingolstadt
2 : 1
Duisburg
18 Oct
Duisburg
1 : 1
FC Viktoria Koln
13 Oct
Saarbrucken
2 : 4
Duisburg
10 Oct
Duisburg
3 : 2
Hoffenheim II
Page 1 of 6

Elversberg

(Away)
30 Oct
Elversberg
4 : 1
Mainz
27 Oct
Elversberg
0 : 2
Darmstadt
24 Oct
RB Leipzig
4 : 0
Elversberg
17 Oct
Elversberg
4 : 3
Augsburg
10 Oct
Union Berlin
1 : 0
Elversberg
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Wehen 0
Bayer Leverkusen 4
FC Viktoria Koln 1
Nurnberg 2
RW Essen 2
St. Pauli 0
Eintracht Trier 0
RB Leipzig 6
Schott Mainz 0
B. Monchengladbach 5
Preussen Munster 1
Karlsruher 2
Duisburg 1
Elversberg 3
Jena 1
Darmstadt 2
Phonix Lubeck 2
Paderborn 4
Hansa Rostock 0
VfB Stuttgart 4
Westfalia Rhynern 0
Dresden 6
Hallescher 2
Schalke 5
Munich 1860 0
Holstein Kiel 2
Aue 0
Hoffenheim 4
Wurzburger Kickers 1
1. FC Koln 2
Braunschweig 2
Union Berlin 4
Greuther Furth 1
Bochum 2
Krieschow 0
Mainz 9
Sonnenhof Grossaspach 3
Arminia Bielefeld 2
Energie Cottbus 0
Augsburg 2
Verl 0
Hamburger 3
SC St.Tonis 0
Eintracht Frankfurt 11
HEBC Hamburg 0
Dortmund 5
Luneburger Hansa 0
Werder Bremen 3
Hemelingen 1
Hannover 9
Mannheim 0
Kaiserslautern 1
Dusseldorf 1
Freiburg 5
Altglienicke 3
Wolfsburg 4
VfL Osnabruck 1
Bayern Munich 4
Bahlinger 0
Magdeburg 4
Jeddeloh 5
Heidenheim 2
Saarbrucken 1
Hertha Berlin 2
1/16-finals
Bayer Leverkusen 5
Nurnberg 2
RW Essen 1
RB Leipzig 2
B. Monchengladbach 2
Karlsruher 0
Elversberg 0
Darmstadt 2
Paderborn 0
VfB Stuttgart 1
Dresden 2
Schalke 0
Holstein Kiel 2
Hoffenheim 1
1. FC Koln 5
Union Berlin 0
Bochum 2
Mainz 0
Sonnenhof Grossaspach 2
Augsburg 4
Hamburger 1
Eintracht Frankfurt 3
Dortmund 3
Werder Bremen 2
Hannover 0
Kaiserslautern 2
Freiburg 3
Wolfsburg 2
Bayern Munich 6
Magdeburg 1
Jeddeloh 0
Hertha Berlin 2
1/8-finals
Bayer Leverkusen -
RB Leipzig -
B. Monchengladbach -
Darmstadt -
VfB Stuttgart -
Dresden -
Holstein Kiel -
1. FC Koln -
Bochum -
Augsburg -
Eintracht Frankfurt -
Dortmund -
Kaiserslautern -
Freiburg -
Bayern Munich -
Hertha Berlin -
Quarter-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -