Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Duisburg vs Hoffenheim II - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Germany Germany

3. Liga Schauinsland-Reisen-Arena, Duisburg
Our Tip

Match Events

22' Event
Fleckstein T.
Own Goal
24'
Dagdeviren D.
39' Event
Makanda B.
Assist: Poller T.

AI Match Summary

Duisburg in this 3. Liga matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Duisburg.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Duisburg
15%
Draws
39%
Hoffenheim II
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Duisburg

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Duisburg lately — more wins on the board than Hoffenheim II.
  • Duisburg are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Regular 3. Liga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Duisburg have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 39.6%
Duisburg Clean Sheet 68%
Hoffenheim II Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Duisburg Hoffenheim II
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 16 9
Draws 6 4
Losses 6 15
Goals Scored 1.93 1.61
Goals Conceded 1.29 1.79
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 10, 2026 3. Liga
Duisburg vs Hoffenheim II
3:2
Apr 18, 2026 3. Liga
Duisburg vs Hoffenheim II
3:1
Nov 21, 2025 3. Liga
Hoffenheim II vs Duisburg
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Duisburg Compare

Top Goalscorer Remmert P.
3 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Hoffenheim II Compare

Top Goalscorer Makanda B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Duisburg 59 / 100
Hoffenheim II 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Duisburg Hoffenheim II

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Duisburg Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 7:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Duisburg scored in 86% of their last 28 games.

Defensive concern: Hoffenheim II conceded in 89% of 28 recent games.

Games between these two average 4.67 goals.

Recent resilience: Duisburg stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Duisburg VS Hoffenheim II
2 Goals Scored 1.88
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Duisburg

(Home)
20 Sept
Wehen
1 : 4
Duisburg
15 Sept
Duisburg
2 : 1
TSV Havelse
12 Sept
Dusseldorf
2 : 1
Duisburg
05 Sept
Regensburg
1 : 2
Duisburg
29 Aug
Duisburg
3 : 0
Wurzburger Kickers
Page 1 of 6

Hoffenheim II

(Away)
19 Sept
Hoffenheim II
1 : 0
Meppen
16 Sept
Ingolstadt
1 : 2
Hoffenheim II
13 Sept
Hoffenheim II
2 : 2
Fortuna Koln
06 Sept
Sonnenhof Grossaspach
1 : 0
Hoffenheim II
29 Aug
Hoffenheim II
5 : 1
Regensburg
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Duisburg 7 6 0 1 19:7 18
2 FC Viktoria Koln 7 5 0 2 19:9 15
3 RW Essen 8 4 3 1 16:12 15
4 Saarbrucken 7 4 1 2 19:12 13
5 Hoffenheim II 7 4 1 2 14:8 13
6 Hansa Rostock 7 3 3 1 15:15 12
7 Preussen Munster 8 3 3 2 15:16 12
8 Alemannia Aachen 7 3 2 2 11:8 11
9 Mannheim 7 3 1 3 11:10 10
10 Dusseldorf 7 3 1 3 6:7 10
11 Verl 7 3 1 3 10:13 10
12 Fortuna Koln 7 2 3 2 8:8 9
13 Sonnenhof Grossaspach 7 2 2 3 6:9 8
14 Ingolstadt 7 2 2 3 7:11 8
15 VfB Stuttgart II 7 2 1 4 12:15 7
16 Wurzburger Kickers 7 2 1 4 11:15 7
17 Meppen 7 2 0 5 8:15 6
18 Regensburg 7 1 2 4 13:17 5
19 Wehen 7 1 2 4 5:13 5
20 TSV Havelse 7 1 1 5 10:15 4
Promotion - 2. Bundesliga 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - 2. Bundesliga (Relegation)