Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Duisburg vs TSV Havelse

Germany Germany

3. Liga Schauinsland-Reisen-Arena, Duisburg
Our Tip

Match Events

13'
Sub
Bitter J. In: Jessen N.
Out: Bitter J.
18'
Mausehund Y.
38'
Bulic R.

AI Match Summary

The 3. Liga game between Duisburg and TSV Havelse finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Duisburg.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Duisburg
15%
Draws
21%
TSV Havelse
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Duisburg

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Duisburg carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Duisburg a 64% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 81%
Duisburg Clean Sheet 20%
TSV Havelse Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Duisburg TSV Havelse
Matches Played 30 26
Wins 17 7
Draws 6 4
Losses 7 15
Goals Scored 1.97 1.54
Goals Conceded 1.47 2.31
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 15, 2026 3. Liga
Duisburg vs TSV Havelse
2:1
Mar 1, 2026 3. Liga
Duisburg vs TSV Havelse
1:1
Sep 21, 2025 3. Liga
TSV Havelse vs Duisburg
1:1
Jan 14, 2022 3. Liga
TSV Havelse vs Duisburg
0:1
Aug 8, 2021 3. Liga
Duisburg vs TSV Havelse
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Duisburg Compare

Top Goalscorer Sussek P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

TSV Havelse Compare

Top Goalscorer Nduka D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Duisburg 58 / 100
TSV Havelse 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Duisburg TSV Havelse

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Duisburg Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Duisburg's goal record stands at 87% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

TSV Havelse let in goals in 92% of their last 26 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Duisburg has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Duisburg VS TSV Havelse
1.88 Goals Scored 0.88
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 50%
75% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Duisburg

(Home)
20 Sept
Wehen
1 : 4
Duisburg
15 Sept
Duisburg
2 : 1
TSV Havelse
12 Sept
Dusseldorf
2 : 1
Duisburg
05 Sept
Regensburg
1 : 2
Duisburg
29 Aug
Duisburg
3 : 0
Wurzburger Kickers
Page 1 of 6

TSV Havelse

(Away)
25 Sept
TSV Havelse
1 : 3
Fortuna Koln
15 Sept
Duisburg
2 : 1
TSV Havelse
12 Sept
TSV Havelse
2 : 2
Sonnenhof Grossaspach
05 Sept
Preussen Munster
2 : 1
TSV Havelse
30 Aug
TSV Havelse
3 : 2
Mannheim
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Duisburg 7 6 0 1 19:7 18
2 FC Viktoria Koln 7 5 0 2 19:9 15
3 RW Essen 7 4 2 1 13:9 14
4 Saarbrucken 7 4 1 2 19:12 13
5 Hoffenheim II 7 4 1 2 14:8 13
6 Hansa Rostock 7 3 3 1 15:15 12
7 Alemannia Aachen 7 3 2 2 11:8 11
8 Preussen Munster 7 3 2 2 12:13 11
9 Mannheim 7 3 1 3 11:10 10
10 Dusseldorf 7 3 1 3 6:7 10
11 Verl 7 3 1 3 10:13 10
12 Fortuna Koln 7 2 3 2 8:8 9
13 Sonnenhof Grossaspach 7 2 2 3 6:9 8
14 Ingolstadt 7 2 2 3 7:11 8
15 VfB Stuttgart II 7 2 1 4 12:15 7
16 Wurzburger Kickers 7 2 1 4 11:15 7
17 Meppen 7 2 0 5 8:15 6
18 Regensburg 7 1 2 4 13:17 5
19 Wehen 7 1 2 4 5:13 5
20 TSV Havelse 7 1 1 5 10:15 4
Promotion - 2. Bundesliga 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - 2. Bundesliga (Relegation)