Sport Picks

Scotland

League Two 2025/2026 Dumbarton Football Stadium

Annan

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Dumbarton play Annan in the League Two 2025/2026. It looks like a close match. Recently, Dumbarton averaged 1 goals scored and 2.14 conceded. Annan averaged 1.52 goals scored and 1.55 conceded. In past meetings, Dumbarton won 4, Annan won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Mar 21, 2026 ended 2:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.31 for Dumbarton and 1.81 for Annan. This points to a Annan double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%

Dumbarton

18%

Draws

48%

Annan

Draw rate projection: 18% Favored: Annan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

75% / High Confidence

Dumbarton picked up more points recently compared to Annan.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.31 vs 1.81 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 59%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 86%

Over 2.5 Goals 59%

Over 3.5 Goals 35%

Over 4.5 Goals 18%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 54%

Dumbarton Clean Sheet 11%

Annan Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 77%

Second Half Goal 82%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Dumbarton	Annan
Matches Played	29	29
Wins	5	10
Draws	7	8
Losses	17	11
Goals Scored	1	1.52
Goals Conceded	2.14	1.55
Expected Goals (xG)	1.25	1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	2.13	1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 21, 2026 League Two

Dumbarton vs Annan

Possession: 58% - 56% Cards: 0 - 4

2:1

Feb 10, 2026 League Two

Annan vs Dumbarton

Possession: 57% - 60% Cards: 0 - 4

1:0

Nov 8, 2025 League Two

Dumbarton vs Annan

Possession: 50% - 55% Cards: 3 - 1

2:1

Aug 23, 2025 League Two

Annan vs Dumbarton

Possession: 55% - 45% Cards: 3 - 3

3:4

Apr 26, 2025 League One

Dumbarton vs Annan

Possession: 41% - 54% Cards: 1 - 1

3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Dumbarton Compare

Top Goalscorer Honeyman S.

1 Goals

Assists Leader McIntosh L.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.96

Avg xA / game 0.63

Annan Compare

Top Goalscorer Watson K.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.36

Avg xA / game 0.83

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dumbarton 33 / 100

Annan 45 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Dumbarton Annan

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Annan or Draw (X2)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +30.9%

3.85

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +11.5%

1.89

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Dumbarton attacking → ← attacking Annan

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Dumbarton scored in 59% of their last 29 games.

Annan let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

Dumbarton went unbeaten in 0 of their last 5 games.

Annan lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

22 Points in last 5 38

1.25 Goals expected (xG) 1.50

2.13 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.38

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	East Kilbride	36	21	6	9	77:46	69
2	Spartans	36	18	10	8	60:39	64
3	Clyde	36	14	14	8	58:41	56
4	Forfar Athletic	36	13	11	12	51:47	50
5	Stranraer	36	12	11	13	46:46	47
6	Elgin City	36	11	11	14	51:55	44
7	Annan	36	10	11	15	47:58	41
8	Stirling	36	9	11	16	46:63	38
9	Dumbarton	36	10	10	16	47:61	35
10	Edinburgh City	36	10	9	17	45:72	24