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Dumbarton vs Auchinleck Talbot Prediction & H2H Stats

Scotland Scotland

Scottish Cup 2025/2026 Dumbarton Football Stadium, Dumbarton
Our Tip

Match Events

6'
Main L.
21'
Docherty D.
45' Event
Boyd C.
Assist: Gillies L.

AI Match Summary

Auchinleck Talbot in this Scottish Cup 2025/2026 tie, finishing 0-4. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Dumbarton
15%
Draws
34%
Auchinleck Talbot
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Dumbarton

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Auchinleck Talbot lately — more wins on the board than Dumbarton.
  • Dumbarton are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Auchinleck Talbot arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Auchinleck Talbot, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 83%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 83%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Dumbarton Clean Sheet 10%
Auchinleck Talbot Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dumbarton Auchinleck Talbot
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 9 18
Draws 4 1
Losses 16 11
Goals Scored 1.28 2.13
Goals Conceded 2.31 1.37
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 29, 2025 Scottish Cup
Dumbarton vs Auchinleck Talbot
0:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Dumbarton Compare

Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Auchinleck Talbot Compare

Top Goalscorer Boyd C.
2 Goals
Assists Leader McAvoy K.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.16
Avg xA / game 1.32

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dumbarton 47 / 100
Auchinleck Talbot 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dumbarton Auchinleck Talbot

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Dumbarton Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Dumbarton found the back of the net in 69% of recent matches (29 games).

Auchinleck Talbot's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 30 matches.

Dumbarton went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Dumbarton VS Auchinleck Talbot
1.63 Goals Scored 2.38
2.38 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 88%
63% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Dumbarton

(Home)
26 Sept
Dumbarton
3 : 2
Banks O' Dee
22 Sept
Dumbarton
3 : 2
Kilmarnock B
19 Sept
Dumbarton
3 : 0
Spartans
12 Sept
Stranraer
3 : 1
Dumbarton
08 Sept
Cove Rangers
6 : 1
Dumbarton
Page 1 of 6

Auchinleck Talbot

(Away)
02 Oct
Cumnock Juniors
2 : 0
Auchinleck Talbot
26 Sept
Auchinleck Talbot
4 : 0
Cumnock Juniors
22 Sept
Kilwinning Rangers
3 : 0
Auchinleck Talbot
16 Sept
Auchinleck Talbot
0 : 1
Largs Thistle
12 Sept
Auchinleck Talbot
3 : 1
Caledonian Braves
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/128-finals
Rangers -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Clyde -
TBD -
TBD -
Annan -
Lossiemouth 1
Formartine Utd 2
Huntly 1
Buckie Thistle 3
Stranraer -
TBD -
Glenafton 3
Invergordon 2
Jeanfield Swifts 0
Clydebank FC 4
Newtongrange Star 1
East Stirlingshire 3
Boness Athletic 2
Keith 1
Linlithgow Rose 2
Gala Fairydean Rovers 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Queen's Park -
Dumbarton -
TBD -
Coldstream 2
Tayport FC 3
Auchinleck Talbot 2
Cumnock Juniors 1
Carluke Rovers FC 0
Gretna 2008 4
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Celtic -
Kilmarnock -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Dundee FC -
Airdrieonians -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hamilton -
East Fife -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Arbroath -
Livingston -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
St. Mirren -
Camelon Juniors 2
Albion Rovers 1
Johnstone Burgh 4
Threave Rovers 0
Edinburgh City -
TBD -
Stirling University 6
Burntisland Shipyard 2
Elgin City -
TBD -
Darvel FC 1
Deveronvale 3
Forres Mechanics 0
Caledonian Braves 2
TBD -
Stirling -
Musselburgh 2
Bonnyton Thistle 0
TBD -
Forfar Athletic -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Partick -
Wick Academy 5
Rothes 0
Cowdenbeath 1
Benburb 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Montrose -
Dunfermline -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Queen of the South -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hibernian -
Kelty Hearts -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Lochee United 1
Brechin 3
Civil Service Strollers 2
Dundonald Bluebell 3
St Johnstone -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Cove Rangers -
Aberdeen -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Raith -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Alloa -
Motherwell -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Boness United 0
Banks O' Dee 3
Brora Rangers 0
Fraserburgh 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ross County -
Stenhousemuir -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Clachnacuddin 2
Kilwinning Rangers 1
Inverurie Loco Works 0
Sauchie 2
Peterhead -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Morton -
Hearts -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Falkirk -
Ayr -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Berwick 0
Nairn County 2
Turriff United 2
Hill Of Beath 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Dundee Utd -
Cumbernauld Colts 4
Glasgow University 0
Bonnyrigg Rose 2
Broxburn Athletic 1
Spartans -
TBD -
TBD -
East Kilbride -
Tranent FC 3
Pollok 0
Strathspey Thistle 1
Dundee North End 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Inverness -
1/64-finals
Rangers -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Clyde 2
Annan 3
Formartine Utd 0
Buckie Thistle 2
Stranraer 4
Glenafton 0
Clydebank FC 3
East Stirlingshire 1
Boness Athletic 0
Linlithgow Rose 2
TBD -
Queen's Park -
Dumbarton 2
Tayport FC 0
Auchinleck Talbot 3
Gretna 2008 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Celtic -
Kilmarnock -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Dundee FC -
Airdrieonians -
TBD -
TBD -
Hamilton -
East Fife -
TBD -
TBD -
Arbroath -
Livingston -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
St. Mirren -
Camelon Juniors 1
Johnstone Burgh 0
Edinburgh City 1
Stirling University 0
Elgin City 2
Deveronvale 1
Caledonian Braves 3
Stirling 4
Musselburgh 1
Forfar Athletic 2
TBD -
Partick -
Wick Academy 1
Benburb 2
TBD -
Montrose -
Dunfermline -
TBD -
TBD -
Queen of the South -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hibernian -
Kelty Hearts -
TBD -
Brechin 3
Dundonald Bluebell 1
St Johnstone -
TBD -
TBD -
Cove Rangers -
Aberdeen -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Raith -
TBD -
TBD -
Alloa -
Motherwell -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Banks O' Dee 4
Fraserburgh 0
TBD -
Ross County -
Stenhousemuir -
TBD -
Clachnacuddin 2
Sauchie 0
Peterhead -
TBD -
TBD -
Morton -
Hearts -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Falkirk -
Ayr -
TBD -
Nairn County 1
Turriff United 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Dundee Utd -
Cumbernauld Colts 0
Bonnyrigg Rose 2
Spartans 2
East Kilbride 1
Tranent FC 3
Dundee North End 0
TBD -
Inverness -
1/32-finals
Rangers -
TBD -
Annan 4
Buckie Thistle 0
Stranraer 2
Clydebank FC 1
Linlithgow Rose 1
Queen's Park 3
Dumbarton 0
Auchinleck Talbot 4
TBD -
Celtic -
Kilmarnock -
TBD -
TBD -
Dundee FC -
Airdrieonians 4
Hamilton 0
East Fife 0
Arbroath 2
Livingston -
TBD -
TBD -
St. Mirren -
Camelon Juniors 2
Edinburgh City 1
Elgin City 4
Stirling 2
Forfar Athletic 0
Partick 2
Benburb 0
Montrose 3
Dunfermline 2
Queen of the South 1
TBD -
Hibernian -
Kelty Hearts 2
Brechin 0
St Johnstone 1
Cove Rangers 2
Aberdeen -
TBD -
Raith 1
Alloa 0
Motherwell -
TBD -
Banks O' Dee 0
Ross County 2
Stenhousemuir 4
Clachnacuddin 1
Peterhead 2
Morton 3
Hearts -
TBD -
TBD -
Falkirk -
Ayr 3
Turriff United 0
TBD -
Dundee Utd -
Bonnyrigg Rose 1
Spartans 2
Tranent FC 1
Inverness 2
1/16-finals
Rangers 5
Annan 0
Stranraer 2
Queen's Park 1
Auchinleck Talbot 0
Celtic 2
Kilmarnock 1
Dundee FC 2
Airdrieonians 4
Arbroath 3
Livingston 1
St. Mirren 2
Camelon Juniors 1
Elgin City 3
Partick 3
Montrose 1
Dunfermline 1
Hibernian 0
Kelty Hearts 2
Cove Rangers 1
Aberdeen 1
Raith 0
Motherwell 1
Ross County 0
Stenhousemuir 4
Morton 0
Hearts 1
Falkirk 2
Ayr 0
Dundee Utd 2
Spartans 1
Inverness 0
1/8-finals
Rangers 8
Queen's Park 0
Celtic 2
Dundee FC 1
Airdrieonians 1
St. Mirren 2
Elgin City 2
Partick 3
Dunfermline 2
Kelty Hearts 0
Aberdeen 2
Motherwell 0
Stenhousemuir 0
Falkirk 2
Dundee Utd 2
Spartans 1
Quarter-finals
Rangers 0
Celtic 1
St. Mirren 2
Partick 1
Dunfermline 3
Aberdeen 0
Falkirk 2
Dundee Utd 1
Semi-finals
Celtic 6
St. Mirren 2
Dunfermline 1
Falkirk 0
Final
Celtic 3
Dunfermline 1