Sport Picks

Dumbarton vs Cove Rangers Prediction & H2H Stats

Scotland

League Cup Dumbarton Football Stadium, Dumbarton

Dumbarton

2 - 0

Cove Rangers

Our Tip

Match Events

McIntosh L.

Assist: Lang D.

46'

Sub

McAllister R. In: Oppong E.

Out: McAllister R.

60'

Sub

Maguire C. In: Enem V.

Out: Maguire C.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-0. The second leg ended 2-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%

Dumbarton

15%

Draws

42%

Cove Rangers

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Dumbarton

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence

Cove Rangers carry the better recent record into this one.
Model gives Dumbarton a 42% chance of winning this.
Cove Rangers arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
Historical meetings favor Cove Rangers, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
These two have met 5 times recently and Cove Rangers have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%

Over 1.5 Goals 94%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 70%

Over 4.5 Goals 32%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%

Dumbarton Clean Sheet 10%

Cove Rangers Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Dumbarton	Cove Rangers
Matches Played	29	28
Wins	10	11
Draws	4	4
Losses	15	13
Goals Scored	1.34	1.5
Goals Conceded	2.21	1.64
Expected Goals (xG)	1.38	2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 8, 2026 Challenge Cup

Cove Rangers vs Dumbarton

6:1

Jul 25, 2026 League Cup

Dumbarton vs Cove Rangers

2:0

Apr 12, 2025 League One

Dumbarton vs Cove Rangers

1:3

Feb 22, 2025 League One

Cove Rangers vs Dumbarton

2:1

Nov 2, 2024 League One

Dumbarton vs Cove Rangers

0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Dumbarton Compare

Top Goalscorer McIntosh L.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Lang D.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.06

Avg xA / game 0.69

Cove Rangers Compare

Avg xG / game 2.05

Avg xA / game 1.25

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dumbarton 40 / 100

Cove Rangers 36 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Dumbarton Cove Rangers

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.80 goals as a typical output.

Dumbarton scored in 72% of their last 29 games.

Defensive concern: Cove Rangers conceded in 71% of 28 recent games.

Recent resilience: Dumbarton stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Dumbarton VS Cove Rangers

1.88 Goals Scored 2.25

2.25 Goals Conceded 0.88

100% Over 1.5 88%

88% Over 2.5 50%

63% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Dumbarton

(Home)

26 Sept

Dumbarton

3 : 2

Banks O' Dee

22 Sept

Dumbarton

3 : 2

Kilmarnock B

19 Sept

Dumbarton

3 : 0

Spartans

12 Sept

Stranraer

3 : 1

Dumbarton

08 Sept

Cove Rangers

6 : 1

Dumbarton

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Cove Rangers

(Away)

26 Sept

Cove Rangers

2 : 1

Aberdeen B

22 Sept

Fraserburgh

0 : 5

Cove Rangers

19 Sept

Cove Rangers

0 : 2

Ross County

12 Sept

Montrose

2 : 1

Cove Rangers

08 Sept

Cove Rangers

6 : 1

Dumbarton

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