Sport Picks

Dumbarton vs Keith - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Scotland

Scottish Cup

Keith

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

A one-off knockout match in the Scottish Cup. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. Dumbarton have averaged 1.33 scored and 2.3 conceded recently, against Keith's 1.83 scored and 1.53 conceded. These two haven't met recently, so form does most of the talking. Model xG sits at 2.06 vs 1.75, favoring Keith. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%

Dumbarton

15%

Draws

34%

Keith

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Dumbarton

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence

Keith have won more games recently than Dumbarton.
51% — that's where the model lands on Dumbarton taking it.
Keith arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
These two have never met before — a fresh matchup with no historical pattern to lean on.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%

Over 1.5 Goals 94%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 50%

Over 4.5 Goals 23%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%

Dumbarton Clean Sheet 12%

Keith Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Dumbarton	Keith
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	10	17
Draws	3	4
Losses	17	9
Goals Scored	1.33	1.83
Goals Conceded	2.3	1.53
Expected Goals (xG)	2.06	1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dumbarton 38 / 100

Keith 26 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Dumbarton Keith

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Dumbarton Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Dumbarton found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (30 games).

Keith let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Recent resilience: Dumbarton stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Difficult form: Keith registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Dumbarton VS Keith

2 Goals Scored 1.38

2.13 Goals Conceded 2.13

100% Over 1.5 88%

100% Over 2.5 63%

50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Dumbarton

(Home)

13 Oct

Clydebank FC

4 : 0

Dumbarton

10 Oct

Clyde

2 : 1

Dumbarton

03 Oct

Dumbarton

2 : 1

Forfar Athletic

26 Sept

Dumbarton

3 : 2

Banks O' Dee

22 Sept

Dumbarton

3 : 2

Kilmarnock B

Page 1 of 6

Keith

(Away)

10 Oct

Huntly

2 : 0

Keith

07 Oct

Keith

1 : 0

Turriff United

03 Oct

Keith

2 : 1

Stonehaven

26 Sept

Brora Rangers

5 : 0

Keith

19 Sept

Keith

2 : 3

Strathspey Thistle

Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Scroll horizontally to view stages →

1/128-finals

Boness United 3

Irvine Meadow 2

TBD -

Forfar Athletic -

Edinburgh City -

TBD -

Kelty Hearts -

Rothes 0

Brora Rangers 9

Cowdenbeath 4

Berwick 0

Newton Stewart 1

Johnstone Burgh 3

Civil Service Strollers 0

Formartine Utd 2

Brechin 3

Buckie Thistle 2

Strathspey Thistle 3

Dalbeattie Star 2

Lochee United 3

Inverurie Loco Works 2

TBD -

Spartans -

Haddington Athletic 0

Cumbernauld Colts 2

Kirkintilloch Rob Roy 1

Banks O' Dee 2

Hill Of Beath 2

Glasgow University 0

Musselburgh 2

Lossiemouth 1

Gala Fairydean Rovers 0

Largs Thistle 1

Dunipace 5

Preston Athletic 2

Dumbarton -

TBD -

Keith 2

Stonehaven 1

Nairn County 0

Gretna 2008 1

Cumnock Juniors 2

Auchinleck Talbot 0

Deveronvale 2

Troon FC 3

Caledonian Braves 4

Fraserburgh 0

Beith 0

Huntly 3

TBD -

Annan -

Forres Mechanics 0

Stirling University 1

TBD -

Elgin City -

Renfrew 3

Broxburn Athletic 2

TBD -

Stirling -

Bonnyton Thistle 2

East Stirlingshire 0

Clachnacuddin 2

Bonnyrigg Rose 0

Stranraer -

TBD -

Tayport FC 3

Wick Academy 0

Penicuik 3

Kilwinning Rangers 1

TBD -

Clyde -

Threave Rovers 3

Invergordon 2

Pollok 4

Albion Rovers 1

Linlithgow Rose 0

Clydebank FC 1

Tranent FC 3

Turriff United 1

TBD -

1/64-finals

Boness United -

Forfar Athletic -

Edinburgh City -

Kelty Hearts -

Brora Rangers -

Cowdenbeath -

Johnstone Burgh -

Formartine Utd -

Brechin -

Strathspey Thistle -

Lochee United -

Spartans -

Cumbernauld Colts -

Banks O' Dee -

Hill Of Beath -

Musselburgh -

Largs Thistle -

Dunipace -

Dumbarton -

Keith -

Gretna 2008 -

Cumnock Juniors -

Troon FC -

Caledonian Braves -

Huntly -

Annan -

Stirling University -

Elgin City -

Renfrew -

Stirling -

Bonnyton Thistle -

Clachnacuddin -

Stranraer -

Tayport FC -

Penicuik -

Clyde -

Threave Rovers -

Pollok -

Clydebank FC -

Tranent FC -

TBD -

1/32-finals

TBD -

1/16-finals

TBD -

1/8-finals

TBD -

Quarter-finals

TBD -

Semi-finals

TBD -

Final

TBD -

Dumbarton vs Keith - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Scotland

Dumbarton

Keith

AI Match Summary

Win Probability Meter

Model Confidence

Goal Probability Engine

Recent Team Form Analysis

H2H

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Attack & Defence Capability Index

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Scoring Trends

Recent Form & Match History

Dumbarton

Keith

Tournament Bracket & Draw

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