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Dumbarton vs Spartans - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Scotland Scotland

League Two Dumbarton Football Stadium, Dumbarton
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Lang D.
Assist: Doyle M.
14'
Robson T.
35'
Lang T.

AI Match Summary

Dumbarton in this League Two matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Dumbarton.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

54%
Dumbarton
15%
Draws
31%
Spartans
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Dumbarton

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Dumbarton lately — more wins on the board than Spartans.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Dumbarton taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Dumbarton Clean Sheet 10%
Spartans Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dumbarton Spartans
Matches Played 28 27
Wins 9 8
Draws 4 10
Losses 15 9
Goals Scored 1.32 1.59
Goals Conceded 2.29 1.56
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 2.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 19, 2026 League Two
Dumbarton vs Spartans
3:0
Mar 7, 2026 League Two
Dumbarton vs Spartans
3:0
Jan 3, 2026 League Two
Spartans vs Dumbarton
2:0
Oct 18, 2025 League Two
Dumbarton vs Spartans
1:2
Aug 9, 2025 League Two
Spartans vs Dumbarton
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Dumbarton Compare

Top Goalscorer Lang D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Sowa J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Spartans Compare

Avg xG / game 1.87
Avg xA / game 1.14

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dumbarton 34 / 100
Spartans 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dumbarton Spartans

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Dumbarton scored in 71% of their last 28 games.

Spartans's defensive record shows goals conceded in 74% of 27 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Dumbarton went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Dumbarton VS Spartans
1.88 Goals Scored 2
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Dumbarton

(Home)
03 Oct
Dumbarton
2 : 1
Forfar Athletic
26 Sept
Dumbarton
3 : 2
Banks O' Dee
22 Sept
Dumbarton
3 : 2
Kilmarnock B
19 Sept
Dumbarton
3 : 0
Spartans
12 Sept
Stranraer
3 : 1
Dumbarton
Page 1 of 6

Spartans

(Away)
03 Oct
Spartans
0 : 2
Kelty Hearts
25 Sept
Spartans
1 : 0
Dundee FC B
22 Sept
Gala Fairydean Rovers
0 : 0
Spartans
19 Sept
Dumbarton
3 : 0
Spartans
12 Sept
Spartans
5 : 1
Forfar Athletic
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Stranraer 9 5 2 2 17:8 17
2 Clyde 9 5 2 2 21:16 17
3 Elgin City 9 4 2 3 25:16 14
4 Spartans 9 3 3 3 19:17 12
5 Kelty Hearts 9 4 0 5 13:18 12
6 Dumbarton 9 4 0 5 10:15 12
7 Forfar Athletic 9 3 2 4 9:15 11
8 Edinburgh City 9 4 3 2 19:15 10
9 Annan 9 3 0 6 9:11 9
10 Stirling 9 2 2 5 11:22 8
Promotion - League One 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - League One (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - League Two (Relegation - Play Offs)