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Dumiense vs Atletico Arcos

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

26' Event
Miranda P.
36' Event
Guerra L.
41' Event
Alves S.

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2024/2025 game between Dumiense and Atletico Arcos finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Dumiense.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Dumiense
30%
Draws
12%
Atletico Arcos
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Dumiense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Dumiense come out ahead of Atletico Arcos on wins alone.
  • Model gives Dumiense a 58% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Dumiense Clean Sheet 68%
Atletico Arcos Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dumiense Atletico Arcos
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 7
Draws 6 6
Losses 16 17
Goals Scored 1.07 0.9
Goals Conceded 1.93 1.47
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 29, 2025 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Dumiense vs Atletico Arcos
3:2
Dec 7, 2024 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Atletico Arcos vs Dumiense
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Dumiense Compare

Top Goalscorer Alves S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Grilo F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Atletico Arcos Compare

Top Goalscorer Miranda P.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Guerra L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dumiense 50 / 100
Atletico Arcos 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dumiense Atletico Arcos

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Dumiense Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Atletico Arcos let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

Dumiense scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Dumiense has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Dumiense VS Atletico Arcos
1.25 Goals Scored 1.25
2 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Dumiense

(Home)
13 Apr
AD Limianos
2 : 2
Dumiense
06 Apr
Dumiense
1 : 5
Brito
29 Mar
Dumiense
3 : 2
Atletico Arcos
16 Mar
Tirsense
4 : 1
Dumiense
09 Mar
Dumiense
0 : 0
Pevidem
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Atletico Arcos

(Away)
30 Aug
Merelinense
2 : 0
Atletico Arcos
13 Apr
Paredes
1 : 1
Atletico Arcos
05 Apr
Atletico Arcos
1 : 3
AD Limianos
29 Mar
Dumiense
3 : 2
Atletico Arcos
16 Mar
Brito
3 : 1
Atletico Arcos
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vitoria Guimaraes B 26 17 5 4 45:21 56
2 Paredes 26 16 4 6 51:21 52
3 GD Braganca 26 12 8 6 37:28 44
4 Rebordosa 26 12 6 8 39:25 42
5 Brito 26 12 4 10 41:40 40
6 SC Vianense 26 11 3 12 31:37 36
7 Tirsense 26 10 5 11 39:35 35
8 SC Vila Real 26 10 5 11 30:32 35
9 AD Limianos 26 8 10 8 37:36 34
10 GD Joane 26 7 7 12 26:38 28
11 Pevidem 26 7 7 12 23:34 28
12 Os Sandinenses 26 7 7 12 30:41 28
13 Dumiense 26 6 6 14 25:52 23
14 Atletico Arcos 26 6 5 15 24:38 23
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2024/2025 (Promotion Group)