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Dunav Ruse II vs Spartak Varna II Prediction & H2H Stats

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - North-East 2023/2024
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AI Match Summary

Spartak Varna II in this Third League - North-East 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 0-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Spartak Varna II.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Dunav Ruse II
20%
Draws
32%
Spartak Varna II
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Dunav Ruse II

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Spartak Varna II have won more games recently than Dunav Ruse II.
  • Win probability leans Dunav Ruse II's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Spartak Varna II have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Dunav Ruse II Clean Sheet 20%
Spartak Varna II Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dunav Ruse II Spartak Varna II
Matches Played 14 32
Wins 2 7
Draws 3 5
Losses 9 20
Goals Scored 1.29 1.47
Goals Conceded 2.86 2.16
Expected Goals (xG) 1.67 1.11
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 11, 2024 Third League - North-East
Dunav Ruse II vs Spartak Varna II
0:0
May 29, 2024 Third League - North-East
Dunav Ruse II vs Spartak Varna II
0:3
Nov 30, 2023 Third League - North-East
Spartak Varna II vs Dunav Ruse II
7:0
May 28, 2023 Third League - North-East
Dunav Ruse II vs Spartak Varna II
0:2
Nov 23, 2022 Third League - North-East
Spartak Varna II vs Dunav Ruse II
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dunav Ruse II 85 / 100
Spartak Varna II 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dunav Ruse II Spartak Varna II

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Dunav Ruse II Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Spartak Varna II let in goals in 81% of their last 32 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.

Spartak Varna II lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Dunav Ruse II scored in 50% of their last 14 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Spartak Varna II
0 Goals Scored 1.13
0 Goals Conceded 2.13
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Dunav Ruse II

(Home)
29 May
Dunav Ruse II
0 : 3
Spartak Varna II
25 May
Cherno More II
3 : 0
Dunav Ruse II
11 May
Svetkavitsa
2 : 1
Dunav Ruse II
01 May
Dorostol
2 : 0
Dunav Ruse II
28 Apr
Dunav Ruse II
6 : 0
Kubrat
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Spartak Varna II

(Away)
30 May
Spartak Varna II
1 : 1
Svetkavitsa 2014
24 May
Septemvri Tervel
4 : 1
Spartak Varna II
13 May
Spartak Varna II
0 : 3
Cherno More II
09 May
Chernomorets Balchik
2 : 0
Spartak Varna II
03 May
Spartak Varna II
0 : 0
Fratria II
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ludogorets III 26 19 4 3 69:16 61
2 Fratria 26 19 4 3 71:20 61
3 Septemvri Tervel 26 18 4 4 52:19 58
4 Cherno More II 26 16 8 2 49:17 56
5 Chernolomets 26 17 2 7 54:31 53
6 Spartak Varna II 26 16 2 8 66:27 50
7 Benkovski 26 11 2 13 48:45 35
8 Dorostol 26 10 4 12 36:50 34
9 FK Riltzi 26 9 6 11 40:45 33
10 Ustrem Donchevo 26 7 4 15 36:58 25
11 Svetkavitsa 26 4 7 15 26:54 19
12 Dunav Ruse II 26 4 4 18 26:64 16
13 Lokomotiv Ruse 26 2 5 19 22:73 11
14 Kubrat 26 2 0 24 10:86 6
15 Shumen 2007 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
16 Sportist Toshevo 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Vtora liga 2024/2025 (Main)