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Dunav Ruse vs Arda - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Bulgaria Bulgaria

efbet League Gradski stadion, Ruse
Our Tip

Match Events

15'
Sub
Kitanov G. In: Pepelyashev P.
Out: Kitanov G.
16' Event
Karagaren B.
Assist: Yankov D.
55'
Velev V.

AI Match Summary

Arda in this efbet League matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Arda.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Dunav Ruse
30%
Draws
23%
Arda
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Dunav Ruse

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Dunav Ruse haven't matched Arda's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Dunav Ruse's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Dunav Ruse Clean Sheet 68%
Arda Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dunav Ruse Arda
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 5 12
Draws 11 5
Losses 12 12
Goals Scored 1.04 1.14
Goals Conceded 1.36 1.34
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 8, 2026 efbet League
Dunav Ruse vs Arda
0:2
Nov 19, 2022 Bulgarian Cup
Dunav Ruse vs Arda
1:2
Jun 21, 2020 efbet League
Arda vs Dunav Ruse
0:2
Jun 6, 2020 efbet League
Dunav Ruse vs Arda
0:0
Oct 6, 2019 efbet League
Arda vs Dunav Ruse
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Dunav Ruse Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Arda Compare

Top Goalscorer Karagaren B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kovachev S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dunav Ruse 95 / 100
Arda 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dunav Ruse Arda

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Dunav Ruse Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Dunav Ruse's goal record stands at 64% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Defensive concern: Arda conceded in 69% of 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.

Solid form: Dunav Ruse remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Dunav Ruse VS Arda
1.25 Goals Scored 1.25
1.75 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Dunav Ruse

(Home)
17 Oct
Rilski Sportist
2 : 3
Dunav Ruse
11 Oct
Septemvri Sofia
2 : 3
Dunav Ruse
03 Oct
Ludogorets II
1 : 1
Dunav Ruse
26 Sept
Cherno More
1 : 0
Dunav Ruse
19 Sept
Dunav Ruse
2 : 2
Botev Vratsa
Page 1 of 6

Arda

(Away)
18 Oct
Spartak Plovdiv
1 : 2
Arda
12 Oct
Ludogorets
5 : 0
Arda
02 Oct
Lok. Plovdiv
2 : 0
Arda
19 Sept
Arda
1 : 1
Cherno More
12 Sept
CSKA Sofia
4 : 1
Arda
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Levski Sofia 10 9 1 0 23:4 28
2 CSKA Sofia 11 8 3 0 27:9 27
3 Ludogorets 10 8 2 0 21:7 26
4 CSKA 1948 Sofia 11 7 1 3 21:13 22
5 Botev Plovdiv 11 6 1 4 17:14 19
6 Arda 11 5 2 4 15:17 17
7 Spartak Varna 11 3 4 4 11:15 13
8 Slavia Sofia 11 2 5 4 9:9 11
9 Botev Vratsa 11 2 3 6 9:20 9
10 Dunav Ruse 11 2 2 7 13:21 8
11 Lok. Plovdiv 11 2 2 7 6:14 8
12 Lok. Sofia 11 1 5 5 12:19 8
13 Septemvri Sofia 11 2 2 7 10:21 8
14 Cherno More 11 1 3 7 11:22 6
Promotion - efbet League (Championship Group)
Promotion - efbet League (Conference League Group)
Relegation - efbet League (Relegation Group)