Sport Picks

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Dunav Ruse vs Arda

Bulgaria Bulgaria

efbet League Gradski stadion, Ruse
Our Tip

Match Events

15'
Sub
Kitanov G. In: Pepelyashev P.
Out: Kitanov G.
16' Event
Karagaren B.
Assist: Yankov D.
55'
Velev V.

AI Match Summary

Arda in this efbet League matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Arda.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
Dunav Ruse
15%
Draws
64%
Arda
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Arda

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Dunav Ruse haven't matched Arda's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Arda's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
Dunav Ruse Clean Sheet 17%
Arda Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dunav Ruse Arda
Matches Played 27 29
Wins 6 14
Draws 11 6
Losses 10 9
Goals Scored 1.07 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.22 0.86
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 8, 2026 efbet League
Dunav Ruse vs Arda
0:2
Nov 19, 2022 Bulgarian Cup
Dunav Ruse vs Arda
1:2
Jun 21, 2020 efbet League
Arda vs Dunav Ruse
0:2
Jun 6, 2020 efbet League
Dunav Ruse vs Arda
0:0
Oct 6, 2019 efbet League
Arda vs Dunav Ruse
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Dunav Ruse Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Arda Compare

Top Goalscorer Karagaren B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kovachev S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dunav Ruse 10 / 100
Arda 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dunav Ruse Arda

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Arda Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Dunav Ruse's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 27 recent games.

Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.

Defensive concern: Arda conceded in 55% of 29 recent games.

Solid form: Dunav Ruse remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Dunav Ruse VS Arda
0.88 Goals Scored 1
1.75 Goals Conceded 0.88
100% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Dunav Ruse

(Home)
31 Aug
Dunav Ruse
2 : 2
Lok. Sofia
21 Aug
Cherno More
3 : 1
Dunav Ruse
16 Aug
Lok. Plovdiv
1 : 2
Dunav Ruse
08 Aug
Dunav Ruse
0 : 2
Arda
02 Aug
CSKA Sofia
2 : 1
Dunav Ruse
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Arda

(Away)
31 Aug
Arda
2 : 0
Botev Vratsa
24 Aug
Lok. Plovdiv
0 : 1
Arda
17 Aug
Arda
3 : 1
Lok. Sofia
08 Aug
Dunav Ruse
0 : 2
Arda
31 Jul
CSKA 1948 Sofia
2 : 1
Arda
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Levski Sofia 6 6 0 0 18:3 18
2 Ludogorets 7 5 2 0 12:5 17
3 CSKA Sofia 6 5 1 0 16:4 16
4 CSKA 1948 Sofia 7 5 1 1 15:7 16
5 Arda 7 5 1 1 11:4 16
6 Septemvri Sofia 7 2 2 3 5:10 8
7 Spartak Varna 7 2 2 3 9:13 8
8 Slavia Sofia 6 1 4 1 6:4 7
9 Botev Plovdiv 7 2 1 4 8:12 7
10 Cherno More 7 1 1 5 8:16 4
11 Botev Vratsa 7 1 1 5 4:15 4
12 Dunav Ruse 7 1 1 5 7:14 4
13 Lok. Sofia 6 0 3 3 7:12 3
14 Lok. Plovdiv 7 1 0 6 3:10 3
Promotion - efbet League (Championship Group)
Promotion - efbet League (Conference League Group)
Relegation - efbet League (Relegation Group)