Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Dunav Ruse vs Lok. Sofia

Bulgaria Bulgaria

efbet League Gradski stadion, Ruse
Our Tip

Match Events

20'
Kostov K.
39' Event
Apostolov R.
(Penalty)
44'
Daskalov R.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this efbet League matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Dunav Ruse
30%
Draws
23%
Lok. Sofia
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Dunav Ruse

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Lok. Sofia at 1.56 per game, Dunav Ruse at 1.07.
  • Model gives Dunav Ruse a 42% chance of winning this.
  • Regular efbet League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Dunav Ruse Clean Sheet 16%
Lok. Sofia Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dunav Ruse Lok. Sofia
Matches Played 27 27
Wins 6 6
Draws 11 11
Losses 10 10
Goals Scored 1.07 1.56
Goals Conceded 1.22 1.7
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 31, 2026 efbet League
Dunav Ruse vs Lok. Sofia
2:2
Apr 24, 2021 Vtora liga
Lok. Sofia vs Dunav Ruse
0:0
Oct 31, 2020 Vtora liga
Dunav Ruse vs Lok. Sofia
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Dunav Ruse Compare

Top Goalscorer Valino A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Lok. Sofia Compare

Top Goalscorer Caue Caruzo
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dunav Ruse 41 / 100
Lok. Sofia 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dunav Ruse Lok. Sofia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lok. Sofia let in goals in 85% of their last 27 matches.

Attacking prowess: Dunav Ruse scored in 67% of their last 27 outings.

Away concern: Lok. Sofia has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Games between these two average 1.33 goals.

Scoring Trends

Dunav Ruse VS Lok. Sofia
0.88 Goals Scored 1.25
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.88
100% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Dunav Ruse

(Home)
31 Aug
Dunav Ruse
2 : 2
Lok. Sofia
21 Aug
Cherno More
3 : 1
Dunav Ruse
16 Aug
Lok. Plovdiv
1 : 2
Dunav Ruse
08 Aug
Dunav Ruse
0 : 2
Arda
02 Aug
CSKA Sofia
2 : 1
Dunav Ruse
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Lok. Sofia

(Away)
31 Aug
Dunav Ruse
2 : 2
Lok. Sofia
17 Aug
Arda
3 : 1
Lok. Sofia
08 Aug
Lok. Sofia
1 : 3
CSKA 1948 Sofia
31 Jul
Slavia Sofia
1 : 1
Lok. Sofia
25 Jul
Lok. Sofia
1 : 2
Levski Sofia
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Levski Sofia 8 8 0 0 21:4 24
2 Ludogorets 8 6 2 0 14:6 20
3 CSKA Sofia 7 5 2 0 17:5 17
4 CSKA 1948 Sofia 8 5 1 2 15:8 16
5 Arda 8 5 1 2 13:7 16
6 Slavia Sofia 8 2 4 2 8:6 10
7 Botev Plovdiv 8 3 1 4 11:14 10
8 Spartak Varna 8 2 3 3 10:14 9
9 Septemvri Sofia 8 2 2 4 7:13 8
10 Botev Vratsa 8 2 1 5 7:17 7
11 Lok. Plovdiv 8 2 0 6 4:10 6
12 Cherno More 8 1 1 6 8:17 4
13 Dunav Ruse 8 1 1 6 7:15 4
14 Lok. Sofia 7 0 3 4 8:14 3
Promotion - efbet League (Championship Group)
Promotion - efbet League (Conference League Group)
Relegation - efbet League (Relegation Group)