Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Dunav Ruse vs Ludogorets

Bulgaria Bulgaria

efbet League Gradski stadion, Ruse
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Tekpetey B.
Assist: Salido Tajero A.
47' Event
Rwan Cruz
Assist: Tekpetey B.
59'
Sub
Gavrilov S. In: Vidakovic V.
Out: Gavrilov S.

AI Match Summary

Ludogorets in this efbet League matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ludogorets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Dunav Ruse
33%
Draws
40%
Ludogorets
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Ludogorets

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Ludogorets lately — more wins on the board than Dunav Ruse.
  • Win probability leans Ludogorets's way, sitting at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Ludogorets have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
Dunav Ruse Clean Sheet 16%
Ludogorets Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dunav Ruse Ludogorets
Matches Played 26 30
Wins 7 17
Draws 11 5
Losses 8 8
Goals Scored 0.75 1.75
Goals Conceded 1.13 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 27, 2026 efbet League
Dunav Ruse vs Ludogorets
0:2
May 29, 2020 Club Friendly
Ludogorets vs Dunav Ruse
4:0
Mar 8, 2020 efbet League
Ludogorets vs Dunav Ruse
5:1
Sep 29, 2019 efbet League
Dunav Ruse vs Ludogorets
0:1
Dec 16, 2018 efbet League
Dunav Ruse vs Ludogorets
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Dunav Ruse Compare

Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Ludogorets Compare

Top Goalscorer Tekpetey B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Rwan Cruz
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dunav Ruse 28 / 100
Ludogorets 40 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dunav Ruse Ludogorets

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LUD Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Dunav Ruse scored in 69% of their last 26 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Dunav Ruse went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Ludogorets has conceded goals in 50% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

Dunav Ruse VS Ludogorets
0.75 Goals Scored 1.75
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 25%
38% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Dunav Ruse

(Home)
27 Jul
Dunav Ruse
0 : 2
Ludogorets
17 Jul
Levski Sofia
2 : 1
Dunav Ruse
11 Jul
Cherno More
1 : 1
Dunav Ruse
01 Jul
Dunav Ruse
1 : 1
Dobrudzha
27 Jun
Spartak Varna
0 : 0
Dunav Ruse
Page 1 of 6

Ludogorets

(Away)
27 Jul
Dunav Ruse
0 : 2
Ludogorets
23 Jul
Hapoel Tel Aviv
2 : 0
Ludogorets
18 Jul
Ludogorets
1 : 0
Lok. Plovdiv
10 Jul
Ludogorets
1 : 0
Teuta
10 Jul
Ludogorets
1 : 0
Septemvri Sofia
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Ludogorets22003:06
2Levski Sofia22004:26
3Spartak Varna21105:24
4CSKA 1948 Sofia21104:34
5CSKA Sofia21103:24
6Arda21102:14
7Lok. Plovdiv21012:23
8Botev Plovdiv20113:41
9Lok. Sofia20112:31
10Botev Vratsa20112:31
11Cherno More20111:41
12Septemvri Sofia20112:31
13Slavia Sofia20110:11
14Dunav Ruse20021:40
Promotion - efbet League (Championship Group)
Promotion - efbet League (Conference League Group)
Relegation - efbet League (Relegation Group)