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Dunav Ruse vs Ludogorets Prediction & H2H Stats

Bulgaria Bulgaria

efbet League Gradski stadion, Ruse
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Tekpetey B.
Assist: Salido Tajero A.
47' Event
Rwan Cruz
Assist: Tekpetey B.
59'
Sub
Gavrilov S. In: Vidakovic V.
Out: Gavrilov S.

AI Match Summary

Ludogorets in this efbet League matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ludogorets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

10%
Dunav Ruse
35%
Draws
55%
Ludogorets
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Ludogorets

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

55% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Ludogorets lately — more wins on the board than Dunav Ruse.
  • Win probability leans Ludogorets's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Ludogorets have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Dunav Ruse Clean Sheet 10%
Ludogorets Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dunav Ruse Ludogorets
Matches Played 29 27
Wins 5 14
Draws 12 7
Losses 12 6
Goals Scored 0.93 1.41
Goals Conceded 1.24 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 27, 2026 efbet League
Dunav Ruse vs Ludogorets
0:2
May 29, 2020 Club Friendly
Ludogorets vs Dunav Ruse
4:0
Mar 8, 2020 efbet League
Ludogorets vs Dunav Ruse
5:1
Sep 29, 2019 efbet League
Dunav Ruse vs Ludogorets
0:1
Dec 16, 2018 efbet League
Dunav Ruse vs Ludogorets
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Dunav Ruse Compare

Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Ludogorets Compare

Top Goalscorer Tekpetey B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Rwan Cruz
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dunav Ruse 10 / 100
Ludogorets 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dunav Ruse Ludogorets

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ludogorets Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Dunav Ruse scored in 62% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Ludogorets let in goals in 59% of their last 27 matches.

Dunav Ruse has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Dunav Ruse VS Ludogorets
1.13 Goals Scored 1.88
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Dunav Ruse

(Home)
26 Sept
Cherno More
1 : 0
Dunav Ruse
19 Sept
Dunav Ruse
2 : 2
Botev Vratsa
12 Sept
CSKA 1948 Sofia
2 : 1
Dunav Ruse
07 Sept
Dunav Ruse
0 : 1
Slavia Sofia
31 Aug
Dunav Ruse
2 : 2
Lok. Sofia
Page 1 of 6

Ludogorets

(Away)
27 Sept
Ludogorets
3 : 0
Ramnicu Valcea
14 Sept
Ludogorets
2 : 1
Septemvri Sofia
06 Sept
Lok. Sofia
1 : 2
Ludogorets
30 Aug
Spartak Varna
1 : 1
Ludogorets
22 Aug
Ludogorets
1 : 1
Slavia Sofia
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Levski Sofia 9 8 1 0 21:4 25
2 CSKA Sofia 10 7 3 0 24:7 24
3 Ludogorets 9 7 2 0 16:7 23
4 CSKA 1948 Sofia 10 7 1 2 19:10 22
5 Arda 10 5 2 3 15:12 17
6 Botev Plovdiv 10 5 1 4 16:14 16
7 Slavia Sofia 10 2 5 3 9:8 11
8 Spartak Varna 10 2 4 4 10:15 10
9 Botev Vratsa 10 2 3 5 9:19 9
10 Septemvri Sofia 10 2 2 6 8:18 8
11 Lok. Sofia 10 1 4 5 11:18 7
12 Lok. Plovdiv 10 2 1 7 5:13 7
13 Cherno More 10 1 3 6 11:20 6
14 Dunav Ruse 10 1 2 7 10:19 5
Promotion - efbet League (Championship Group)
Promotion - efbet League (Conference League Group)
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