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Dunbar Rovers vs Macarthur Rams

Australia Australia

NSW League One 2023
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AI Match Summary

The NSW League One 2023 game between Dunbar Rovers and Macarthur Rams finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Macarthur Rams.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

15%
Dunbar Rovers
20%
Draws
65%
Macarthur Rams
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Macarthur Rams

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Macarthur Rams come out ahead of Dunbar Rovers on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Macarthur Rams's way, sitting at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Dunbar Rovers Clean Sheet 20%
Macarthur Rams Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dunbar Rovers Macarthur Rams
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 2 14
Draws 10 8
Losses 18 9
Goals Scored 1.03 1.19
Goals Conceded 2.37 1.16
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 0.99
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 27, 2024 NSW League One
Macarthur Rams vs Dunbar Rovers
1:1
Apr 20, 2024 NSW League One
Dunbar Rovers vs Macarthur Rams
0:0
Jun 10, 2023 NSW League One
Dunbar Rovers vs Macarthur Rams
1:2
Feb 25, 2023 NSW League One
Macarthur Rams vs Dunbar Rovers
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dunbar Rovers 12 / 100
Macarthur Rams 75 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dunbar Rovers Macarthur Rams

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Macarthur Rams Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Dunbar Rovers scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

Macarthur Rams let in goals in 65% of their last 31 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Dunbar Rovers went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Macarthur Rams
0 Goals Scored 0.88
0 Goals Conceded 1
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Dunbar Rovers

(Home)
24 Aug
Western City Rangers
6 : 1
Dunbar Rovers
16 Aug
Nepean
1 : 1
Dunbar Rovers
10 Aug
Dunbar Rovers
1 : 4
Northern Tigers
03 Aug
Dunbar Rovers
0 : 0
Canterbury Bankstown FC
30 Jul
Bonnyrigg White Eagles
1 : 0
Dunbar Rovers
Page 1 of 6

Macarthur Rams

(Away)
15 Aug
Macarthur Rams
0 : 2
Blacktown Spartans
08 Aug
Dulwich Hill
1 : 2
Macarthur Rams
01 Aug
Bulls Academy
0 : 1
Macarthur Rams
25 Jul
Macarthur Rams
1 : 2
Hurstville Zagreb
17 Jul
Prospect United
1 : 2
Macarthur Rams
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Hills United 30 20 6 4 64:38 66
2 St George Saints 30 17 7 6 67:40 58
3 Bonnyrigg White Eagles 30 18 4 8 59:46 58
4 SD Raiders 30 17 4 9 64:43 55
5 Canterbury Bankstown FC 30 17 4 9 52:36 55
6 Inter Lions 30 16 4 10 55:49 52
7 Northern Tigers 30 16 3 11 62:37 51
8 Blacktown Spartans 30 12 8 10 48:45 44
9 Hakoah Sydney 30 10 6 14 45:48 36
10 Bankstown City Lions FC 30 9 8 13 40:42 35
11 Rydalmere Lions 30 10 3 17 38:53 33
12 Dulwich Hill 30 9 5 16 43:56 32
13 Macarthur Rams 30 9 5 16 34:55 32
14 Dunbar Rovers 30 8 5 17 36:61 29
15 Mounties Wanderers FC 30 8 3 19 44:58 27
16 Central Coast United 30 4 5 21 37:81 17
Promotion - NPL NSW 2025 (Main)
Promotion - NPL NSW 2024 (Relegation)
Relegation - NSW League One 2024 (Relegation)