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Dunbar United vs Newcastle Benfield

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Club Friendly 2023
Our Tip

Match Events

1' Event
Guy C.
18' Event
Stewart S.
22' Event
Stewart S.

AI Match Summary

Dunbar United in this Club Friendly 2023 matchup, with the score ending 4-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Dunbar United.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Dunbar United
33%
Draws
40%
Newcastle Benfield
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Newcastle Benfield

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Dunbar United have won more games recently than Newcastle Benfield.
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on Newcastle Benfield taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 40%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.6%
Dunbar United Clean Sheet 13%
Newcastle Benfield Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dunbar United Newcastle Benfield
Matches Played 20 20
Wins 8 7
Draws 1 2
Losses 11 11
Goals Scored 2 1.33
Goals Conceded 2 1.67
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.33
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.00 1.67

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 20, 2024 Club Friendly
Newcastle Benfield vs Dunbar United
1:2
Jul 22, 2023 Club Friendly
Dunbar United vs Newcastle Benfield
4:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Dunbar United Compare

Top Goalscorer Stewart S.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Somers K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Newcastle Benfield Compare

Top Goalscorer Guy C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Colquhaun M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.21
Avg xA / game 0.74

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dunbar United 27 / 100
Newcastle Benfield 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dunbar United Newcastle Benfield

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NEW Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Dunbar United scored in 90% of their last 20 outings.

Newcastle Benfield let in goals in 80% of their last 20 matches.

These sides typically produce 5.00 goals when they meet.

Away concern: Newcastle Benfield has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Dunbar United VS Newcastle Benfield
2 Goals Scored 1.33
2 Goals Conceded 1.67
88% Over 1.5 67%
88% Over 2.5 67%
63% Over 3.5 17%