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Dundalk vs Bohemians Prediction & H2H Stats

Ireland Ireland

Premier Division Oriel Park, Dundalk
Our Tip

Match Events

26' Event
Whelan C.
(Penalty)
29'
Parsons C.
49'
Warren H.

AI Match Summary

The Premier Division game between Dundalk and Bohemians finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Bohemians.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

6%
Dundalk
20%
Draws
74%
Bohemians
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Bohemians

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

74% / High Confidence
  • Bohemians carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Bohemians a 74% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 82%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 82%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 80.2%
Dundalk Clean Sheet 10%
Bohemians Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dundalk Bohemians
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 11 17
Draws 7 8
Losses 12 7
Goals Scored 1.73 1.84
Goals Conceded 1.67 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 2.06 2.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 2, 2026 Premier Division
Dundalk vs Bohemians
1:2
Jun 19, 2026 Premier Division
Bohemians vs Dundalk
1:2
May 8, 2026 Premier Division
Dundalk vs Bohemians
1:3
Mar 20, 2026 Premier Division
Bohemians vs Dundalk
1:1
Sep 27, 2024 Premier Division
Dundalk vs Bohemians
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Dundalk Compare

Avg xG / game 1.58
Avg xA / game 1.03

Bohemians Compare

Top Goalscorer Tierney R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.22
Avg xA / game 1.36

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dundalk 10 / 100
Bohemians 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dundalk Bohemians

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bohemians Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 4:5
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Dundalk scored in 93% of their last 30 games.

Bohemians has conceded goals in 71% of their last 31 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Dundalk has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Dundalk VS Bohemians
2.38 Goals Scored 2.5
2.38 Goals Conceded 1.75
100% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 88%
75% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Dundalk

(Home)
02 Oct
Dundalk
1 : 2
Bohemians
18 Sept
Dundalk
2 : 3
Shelbourne
14 Sept
Dundalk
0 : 4
St. Patricks
11 Sept
Waterford
1 : 1
Dundalk
06 Sept
Derry City
4 : 2
Dundalk
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Bohemians

(Away)
02 Oct
Dundalk
1 : 2
Bohemians
26 Sept
Bohemians
0 : 0
Bohemians 1905
18 Sept
Bohemians
2 : 1
Drogheda
11 Sept
Galway United
2 : 3
Bohemians
05 Sept
St. Patricks
1 : 2
Bohemians
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 St. Patricks 32 17 8 7 52:25 59
2 Bohemians 32 17 8 7 57:38 59
3 Shamrock Rovers 31 17 8 6 49:31 59
4 Derry City 32 9 14 9 45:42 41
5 Dundalk 33 10 11 12 50:55 41
6 Shelbourne 32 9 13 10 42:45 40
7 Galway United 32 9 11 12 42:48 38
8 Waterford 32 7 13 12 44:54 34
9 Drogheda 32 8 10 14 38:51 34
10 Sligo Rovers 32 5 8 19 24:54 23
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Premier Division (Relegation)
Relegation - Division 1 2027 (Main)