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Dundalk vs Shamrock Rovers Prediction & H2H Stats

Ireland Ireland

Premier Division Oriel Park, Dundalk
Fri, Oct 30, 2026
VS
07:45 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Dundalk host Shamrock Rovers in the Premier Division. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. Recent numbers: Dundalk at 1.76 goals for, 1.66 against; Shamrock Rovers at 1.69 for, 1.31 against. Head-to-head, Dundalk have won 1 to Shamrock Rovers's 3, with 1 draws. They last met on Aug 7, 2026, ending 3:2. The numbers (2.19 xG vs 2.00) point toward Shamrock Rovers. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Dundalk
30%
Draws
39%
Shamrock Rovers
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Shamrock Rovers

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Dundalk haven't matched Shamrock Rovers's recent run of results.
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Premier Division form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Dundalk Clean Sheet 10%
Shamrock Rovers Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dundalk Shamrock Rovers
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 11 15
Draws 7 5
Losses 11 9
Goals Scored 1.76 1.69
Goals Conceded 1.66 1.31
Expected Goals (xG) 2.19 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 7, 2026 Premier Division
Shamrock Rovers vs Dundalk
3:2
May 15, 2026 Premier Division
Dundalk vs Shamrock Rovers
1:0
Feb 23, 2026 Premier Division
Shamrock Rovers vs Dundalk
1:1
Oct 27, 2024 Premier Division
Dundalk vs Shamrock Rovers
0:1
Jul 4, 2024 Premier Division
Shamrock Rovers vs Dundalk
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dundalk 30 / 100
Shamrock Rovers 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dundalk Shamrock Rovers

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Shamrock Rovers Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Dundalk's goal record stands at 93% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Shamrock Rovers let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Dundalk remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Dundalk VS Shamrock Rovers
2.38 Goals Scored 1.63
2.38 Goals Conceded 2
100% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 63%
75% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Dundalk

(Home)
18 Sept
Dundalk
2 : 3
Shelbourne
14 Sept
Dundalk
0 : 4
St. Patricks
11 Sept
Waterford
1 : 1
Dundalk
06 Sept
Derry City
4 : 2
Dundalk
28 Aug
Drogheda
2 : 3
Dundalk
Page 1 of 6

Shamrock Rovers

(Away)
18 Sept
Shamrock Rovers
3 : 2
Waterford
11 Sept
St. Patricks
2 : 0
Shamrock Rovers
04 Sept
Shamrock Rovers
0 : 0
Shelbourne
30 Aug
Derry City
3 : 3
Shamrock Rovers
27 Aug
KuPS
1 : 0
Shamrock Rovers
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 St. Patricks 32 17 8 7 52:25 59
2 Shamrock Rovers 31 17 8 6 49:31 59
3 Bohemians 31 16 8 7 55:37 56
4 Derry City 32 9 14 9 45:42 41
5 Dundalk 32 10 11 11 49:53 41
6 Shelbourne 32 9 13 10 42:45 40
7 Galway United 32 9 11 12 42:48 38
8 Waterford 32 7 13 12 44:54 34
9 Drogheda 32 8 10 14 38:51 34
10 Sligo Rovers 32 5 8 19 24:54 23
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Premier Division (Relegation)
Relegation - Division 1 2027 (Main)