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Dundalk vs Sligo Rovers - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Ireland Ireland

Premier Division Oriel Park, Dundalk
Dundalk Logo

Dundalk

1 - 1
FT
Sligo Rovers Logo

Sligo Rovers

Our Tip

Match Events

9'
Pearce L.
36'
Sub
Pearce L. In: Quirk S.
Out: Pearce L.
53' Event
Horgan D.
Assist: Groome H.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Premier Division matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Dundalk
15%
Draws
0%
Sligo Rovers
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Dundalk

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Dundalk have won more games recently than Sligo Rovers.
  • 85% — that's where the model lands on Dundalk taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Dundalk Clean Sheet 16%
Sligo Rovers Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dundalk Sligo Rovers
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 10 6
Draws 7 7
Losses 12 16
Goals Scored 1.76 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.72 1.79
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 31, 2026 Premier Division
Dundalk vs Sligo Rovers
1:1
Apr 25, 2026 Premier Division
Sligo Rovers vs Dundalk
2:0
Mar 16, 2026 Premier Division
Dundalk vs Sligo Rovers
1:0
Jul 18, 2025 FAI Cup
Dundalk vs Sligo Rovers
0:2
Sep 21, 2024 Premier Division
Sligo Rovers vs Dundalk
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Dundalk Compare

Top Goalscorer Horgan D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Sligo Rovers Compare

Top Goalscorer McElroy G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dundalk 57 / 100
Sligo Rovers 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dundalk Sligo Rovers

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Dundalk Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 6:3
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Dundalk scored in 93% of their last 29 games.

Difficult form: Sligo Rovers registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Sligo Rovers let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Dundalk VS Sligo Rovers
2.25 Goals Scored 0.75
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.75
100% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Dundalk

(Home)
02 Oct
Dundalk
1 : 2
Bohemians
18 Sept
Dundalk
2 : 3
Shelbourne
14 Sept
Dundalk
0 : 4
St. Patricks
11 Sept
Waterford
1 : 1
Dundalk
06 Sept
Derry City
4 : 2
Dundalk
Page 1 of 6

Sligo Rovers

(Away)
09 Oct
Shelbourne
5 : 1
Sligo Rovers
19 Sept
Sligo Rovers
0 : 1
St. Patricks
14 Sept
Sligo Rovers
1 : 3
Galway United
11 Sept
Drogheda
2 : 0
Sligo Rovers
04 Sept
Waterford
3 : 0
Sligo Rovers
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Shamrock Rovers 33 19 8 6 54:33 65
2 St. Patricks 32 17 8 7 52:25 59
3 Bohemians 33 17 8 8 58:40 59
4 Shelbourne 33 10 13 10 47:46 43
5 Derry City 32 9 14 9 45:42 41
6 Dundalk 33 10 11 12 50:55 41
7 Galway United 32 9 11 12 42:48 38
8 Waterford 32 7 13 12 44:54 34
9 Drogheda 33 8 10 15 39:54 34
10 Sligo Rovers 33 5 8 20 25:59 23
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Premier Division (Relegation)
Relegation - Division 1 2027 (Main)