Sport Picks
Match Events
9'
9'
Pearce L.
36'
36'
Sub
Pearce L. In: Quirk S.
Out: Pearce L.
53'
53'
Horgan D.
Assist: Groome H.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Premier Division matchup, with the score ending 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
30%
35%
35%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
35%
/ Low Confidence
- Dundalk have won more games recently than Sligo Rovers.
- 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Dundalk Clean Sheet 14%
Sligo Rovers Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Dundalk | Sligo Rovers |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 11 | 7 |
| Draws | 9 | 8 |
| Losses | 9 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 1.79 | 1.07 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.45 | 1.41 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.06 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 31, 2026 Premier Division
Dundalk vs Sligo Rovers
1:1
Apr 25, 2026 Premier Division
Sligo Rovers vs Dundalk
2:0
Mar 16, 2026 Premier Division
Dundalk vs Sligo Rovers
1:0
Jul 18, 2025 FAI Cup
Dundalk vs Sligo Rovers
0:2
Sep 21, 2024 Premier Division
Sligo Rovers vs Dundalk
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Dundalk Compare
Top Goalscorer Horgan D.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.58
Avg xA / game 1.03
Sligo Rovers Compare
Top Goalscorer McElroy G.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Dundalk 31 / 100
Sligo Rovers 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Dundalk Sligo Rovers
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Dundalk scored in 93% of their last 29 games.
Sligo Rovers has conceded goals in 72% of their last 29 outings.
Games between these two average 2.00 goals.
Dundalk has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Dundalk VS Sligo Rovers
2.38 Goals Scored 1.63
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.75
100% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Dundalk
(Home) 21 Aug
Dundalk
1 : 2 Galway United
15 Aug
Dundalk
8 : 0 Castlebar Celtic
07 Aug
Shamrock Rovers
3 : 2 Dundalk
31 Jul
Dundalk
1 : 1 Sligo Rovers
24 Jul
St. Patricks
1 : 1 Dundalk
Page 1 of 6
21 Aug
Dundalk
1 : 2 Galway United
15 Aug
Dundalk
8 : 0 Castlebar Celtic
31 Jul
Dundalk
1 : 1 Sligo Rovers
10 Jul
Dundalk
1 : 2 Drogheda
26 Jun
Dundalk
2 : 3 Waterford
Page 1 of 3
Sligo Rovers
(Away) 21 Aug
Sligo Rovers
0 : 0 Waterford
15 Aug
Sligo Rovers
4 : 0 Kerry
07 Aug
Derry City
2 : 0 Sligo Rovers
31 Jul
Dundalk
1 : 1 Sligo Rovers
25 Jul
Sligo Rovers
2 : 2 Drogheda
Page 1 of 6
07 Aug
Derry City
2 : 0 Sligo Rovers
31 Jul
Dundalk
1 : 1 Sligo Rovers
18 Jul
Janesboro
0 : 4 Sligo Rovers
11 Jul
Galway United
3 : 2 Sligo Rovers
19 Jun
St. Patricks
2 : 0 Sligo Rovers
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Shamrock Rovers | 27 | 16 | 6 | 5 | 43:24 | 54 |
| 2 | St. Patricks | 28 | 14 | 8 | 6 | 45:23 | 50 |
| 3 | Bohemians | 28 | 13 | 8 | 7 | 47:34 | 47 |
| 4 | Dundalk | 28 | 9 | 10 | 9 | 43:43 | 37 |
| 5 | Shelbourne | 26 | 8 | 10 | 8 | 36:38 | 34 |
| 6 | Derry City | 28 | 7 | 12 | 9 | 38:37 | 33 |
| 7 | Galway United | 27 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 35:41 | 33 |
| 8 | Waterford | 28 | 6 | 11 | 11 | 37:48 | 29 |
| 9 | Drogheda | 28 | 6 | 10 | 12 | 31:45 | 28 |
| 10 | Sligo Rovers | 28 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 23:45 | 23 |
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Premier Division (Relegation)
Relegation - Division 1 2027 (Main)
