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Dundee FC vs Kilmarnock - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Scotland Scotland

Premiership Dens Park, Dundee
Wed, Oct 28, 2026
VS
07:45 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Dundee FC host Kilmarnock in the Premiership. This one's hard to separate. Recent numbers: Dundee FC at 1.59 goals for, 1.48 against; Kilmarnock at 1.57 for, 1.46 against. Past meetings favor Dundee FC slightly — 2-1-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 12, 2026, ending 3:1. The numbers (1.50 xG vs 1.19) point toward Kilmarnock. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Dundee FC
30%
Draws
33%
Kilmarnock
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Dundee FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Kilmarnock have won more games recently than Dundee FC.
  • 37% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Dundee FC Clean Sheet 20%
Kilmarnock Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dundee FC Kilmarnock
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 12 14
Draws 5 4
Losses 12 10
Goals Scored 1.59 1.57
Goals Conceded 1.48 1.46
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 12, 2026 Premiership
Kilmarnock vs Dundee FC
3:1
Apr 11, 2026 Premiership
Kilmarnock vs Dundee FC
2:2
Jan 17, 2026 Scottish Cup
Kilmarnock vs Dundee FC
1:2
Dec 30, 2025 Premiership
Dundee FC vs Kilmarnock
2:1
Aug 23, 2025 Premiership
Kilmarnock vs Dundee FC
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dundee FC 31 / 100
Kilmarnock 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dundee FC Kilmarnock

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Dundee FC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Dundee FC scored in 79% of their last 29 outings.

Defensive concern: Kilmarnock conceded in 64% of 28 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Dundee FC remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Dundee FC VS Kilmarnock
1.38 Goals Scored 0.88
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Dundee FC

(Home)
17 Oct
Dundee FC
2 : 2
Rangers
10 Oct
Falkirk
1 : 2
Dundee FC
19 Sept
Dundee FC
2 : 1
Motherwell
06 Sept
Hearts
2 : 1
Dundee FC
02 Sept
Dundee FC
1 : 1
St Johnstone
Page 1 of 6

Kilmarnock

(Away)
17 Oct
Kilmarnock
3 : 2
Motherwell
10 Oct
Rangers
3 : 1
Kilmarnock
19 Sept
Kilmarnock
1 : 1
Hearts
15 Sept
Hibernian
0 : 1
Kilmarnock
12 Sept
Kilmarnock
1 : 2
Aberdeen
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Celtic 9 8 0 1 23:5 24
2 Rangers 9 6 2 1 13:7 20
3 Hearts 9 5 1 3 20:15 16
4 Dundee FC 9 4 2 3 13:10 14
5 St Johnstone 9 3 3 3 11:11 12
6 Dundee Utd 9 3 3 3 11:12 12
7 Aberdeen 9 3 2 4 10:10 11
8 St. Mirren 9 3 1 5 9:17 10
9 Falkirk 9 2 3 4 9:12 9
10 Motherwell 9 2 2 5 11:16 8
11 Kilmarnock 9 2 2 5 10:20 8
12 Hibernian 9 2 1 6 9:14 7
Promotion - Premiership (Championship Group)
Relegation - Premiership (Relegation Group)