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Dundee FC vs Livingston Prediction & H2H Stats

Scotland Scotland

Premiership 2025/2026 Dens Park, Dundee
Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Congreve C.
Assist: Westley J.
64'
Sub
Nouble J. In: Muirhead R.
Out: Nouble J.
68'
Sub
Yogane T. In: Koumetio B.
Out: Yogane T.

AI Match Summary

The Premiership 2025/2026 game between Dundee FC and Livingston finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Dundee FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Dundee FC
20%
Draws
40%
Livingston
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Dundee FC carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • Regular Premiership 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Dundee FC Clean Sheet 19%
Livingston Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dundee FC Livingston
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 12 10
Draws 6 8
Losses 12 10
Goals Scored 1.67 1.61
Goals Conceded 1.57 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 27, 2026 Club Friendly
Livingston vs Dundee FC
2:0
May 9, 2026 Premiership
Dundee FC vs Livingston
3:0
Feb 14, 2026 Premiership
Dundee FC vs Livingston
2:2
Dec 13, 2025 Premiership
Livingston vs Dundee FC
2:2
Sep 20, 2025 Premiership
Dundee FC vs Livingston
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Dundee FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Congreve C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Robertson F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Livingston Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dundee FC 36 / 100
Livingston 21 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dundee FC Livingston

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Livingston Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Dundee FC scored in 80% of their last 30 games.

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

Livingston's defensive record shows goals conceded in 64% of 28 matches.

Dundee FC has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Dundee FC VS Livingston
1.13 Goals Scored 1.25
1.25 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Dundee FC

(Home)
19 Sept
Dundee FC
2 : 1
Motherwell
06 Sept
Hearts
2 : 1
Dundee FC
02 Sept
Dundee FC
1 : 1
St Johnstone
30 Aug
Dundee FC
1 : 2
Hibernian
22 Aug
Dundee Utd
0 : 2
Dundee FC
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Livingston

(Away)
25 Sept
Raith
0 : 2
Livingston
19 Sept
Livingston
2 : 2
Inverness
11 Sept
Morton
1 : 4
Livingston
04 Sept
Livingston
0 : 1
Stenhousemuir
29 Aug
Arbroath
1 : 0
Livingston
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
7 Dundee Utd 38 10 15 13 49:60 45
8 Dundee FC 38 11 9 18 42:61 42
9 Aberdeen 38 11 7 20 40:55 40
10 Kilmarnock 38 10 10 18 50:68 40
11 St. Mirren 38 8 10 20 30:55 34
12 Livingston 38 2 15 21 40:75 21
Relegation - Championship 2025/2026 (Promotion)
Relegation - Championship (Main)