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Dundee FC vs Livingston

Scotland Scotland

Premiership 2025/2026 Dens Park, Dundee
Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Congreve C.
Assist: Westley J.
64'
Sub
Nouble J. In: Muirhead R.
Out: Nouble J.
68'
Sub
Yogane T. In: Koumetio B.
Out: Yogane T.

AI Match Summary

The Premiership 2025/2026 game between Dundee FC and Livingston finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Dundee FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Dundee FC
44%
Draws
20%
Livingston
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Dundee FC carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • Regular Premiership 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Dundee FC Clean Sheet 10%
Livingston Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dundee FC Livingston
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 12 6
Draws 6 9
Losses 12 14
Goals Scored 2 2.38
Goals Conceded 1.75 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 27, 2026 Club Friendly
Livingston vs Dundee FC
2:0
May 9, 2026 Premiership
Dundee FC vs Livingston
3:0
Feb 14, 2026 Premiership
Dundee FC vs Livingston
2:2
Dec 13, 2025 Premiership
Livingston vs Dundee FC
2:2
Sep 20, 2025 Premiership
Dundee FC vs Livingston
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Dundee FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Congreve C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Robertson F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Livingston Compare

Avg xG / game 2.16
Avg xA / game 1.32

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dundee FC 34 / 100
Livingston 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dundee FC Livingston

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LIV Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

Dundee FC scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

Livingston's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 29 matches.

Dundee FC has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Dundee FC VS Livingston
2 Goals Scored 2.38
1.75 Goals Conceded 0.88
100% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Dundee FC

(Home)
25 Jul
Dundee FC
4 : 0
Clyde
21 Jul
Ross County
2 : 1
Dundee FC
18 Jul
Dundee FC
0 : 4
Everton
14 Jul
Annan
0 : 5
Dundee FC
11 Jul
Dundee FC
4 : 2
Airdrieonians
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Livingston

(Away)
25 Jul
Stenhousemuir
1 : 0
Livingston
21 Jul
Livingston
8 : 0
Forfar Athletic
18 Jul
Livingston
1 : 2
Partick
14 Jul
Brechin
0 : 2
Livingston
10 Jul
Livingston
2 : 1
Hearts
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
7Dundee Utd3810151349:6045
8Dundee FC381191842:6142
9Aberdeen381172040:5540
10Kilmarnock3810101850:6840
11St. Mirren388102030:5534
12Livingston382152140:7521
Relegation - Championship 2025/2026 (Promotion)
Relegation - Championship (Main)