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Dundee FC vs St Johnstone

Scotland Scotland

Premiership Dens Park, Dundee
Our Tip

Match Events

63'
Mitchell Z.
64'
Sub
Forrest A. In: Robertson F.
Out: Forrest A.
64'
Sub
Wales B. In: Fink B.
Out: Wales B.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Premiership matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Dundee FC
30%
Draws
29%
St Johnstone
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Dundee FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to St Johnstone lately — more wins on the board than Dundee FC.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Premiership form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Dundee FC Clean Sheet 16%
St Johnstone Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dundee FC St Johnstone
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 12 16
Draws 6 7
Losses 12 7
Goals Scored 1.67 1.77
Goals Conceded 1.57 0.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 2, 2026 Premiership
Dundee FC vs St Johnstone
1:1
May 18, 2025 Premiership
St Johnstone vs Dundee FC
0:2
Mar 1, 2025 Premiership
Dundee FC vs St Johnstone
1:1
Jan 5, 2025 Premiership
St Johnstone vs Dundee FC
1:3
Oct 26, 2024 Premiership
Dundee FC vs St Johnstone
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Dundee FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Reilly C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

St Johnstone Compare

Top Goalscorer Fowler J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dundee FC 30 / 100
St Johnstone 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dundee FC St Johnstone

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Dundee FC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Dundee FC scored in 80% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Dundee FC stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

St Johnstone let in goals in 57% of their last 30 matches.

Scoring Trends

Dundee FC VS St Johnstone
1.25 Goals Scored 1.5
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Dundee FC

(Home)
19 Sept
Dundee FC
2 : 1
Motherwell
06 Sept
Hearts
2 : 1
Dundee FC
02 Sept
Dundee FC
1 : 1
St Johnstone
30 Aug
Dundee FC
1 : 2
Hibernian
22 Aug
Dundee Utd
0 : 2
Dundee FC
Page 1 of 6

St Johnstone

(Away)
19 Sept
St Johnstone
1 : 1
Falkirk
09 Sept
St Johnstone
0 : 1
Celtic
06 Sept
St Johnstone
2 : 1
Hibernian
02 Sept
Dundee FC
1 : 1
St Johnstone
29 Aug
Hearts
2 : 1
St Johnstone
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Celtic 7 6 0 1 14:4 18
2 Rangers 7 5 1 1 8:4 16
3 Hearts 7 4 1 2 14:8 13
4 Dundee FC 7 3 1 3 9:7 10
5 St. Mirren 7 3 1 3 8:9 10
6 St Johnstone 7 2 2 3 9:10 8
7 Aberdeen 7 2 2 3 7:8 8
8 Dundee Utd 7 2 2 3 9:11 8
9 Motherwell 7 2 2 3 9:11 8
10 Hibernian 7 2 1 4 8:11 7
11 Falkirk 7 1 3 3 6:9 6
12 Kilmarnock 7 1 2 4 6:15 5
Promotion - Premiership (Championship Group)
Relegation - Premiership (Relegation Group)