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Dundee Utd vs Dundee FC

Scotland Scotland

Premiership 2025/2026 Tannadice Park, Dundee
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Ferry W.
34'
Strain R.
36'
Westley J.

AI Match Summary

Dundee Utd in this Premiership 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Dundee Utd.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Dundee Utd
20%
Draws
40%
Dundee FC
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Dundee FC have won more games recently than Dundee Utd.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Dundee Utd taking it.
  • Regular Premiership 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Dundee Utd Clean Sheet 15%
Dundee FC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dundee Utd Dundee FC
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 12
Draws 7 6
Losses 12 12
Goals Scored 1.43 1.67
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.57
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 22, 2026 Premiership
Dundee Utd vs Dundee FC
0:2
Apr 26, 2026 Premiership
Dundee Utd vs Dundee FC
3:0
Mar 15, 2026 Premiership
Dundee FC vs Dundee Utd
2:2
Jan 3, 2026 Premiership
Dundee Utd vs Dundee FC
0:1
Aug 31, 2025 Premiership
Dundee FC vs Dundee Utd
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Dundee Utd Compare

Top Goalscorer Ferry W.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Strain R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Dundee FC Compare

Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dundee Utd 41 / 100
Dundee FC 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dundee Utd Dundee FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Dundee FC conceded in 80% of 30 recent games.

Attacking prowess: Dundee Utd scored in 67% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Dundee Utd has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Dundee Utd VS Dundee FC
1.75 Goals Scored 1.38
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Dundee Utd

(Home)
19 Sept
St. Mirren
0 : 3
Dundee Utd
05 Sept
Dundee Utd
1 : 1
Falkirk
02 Sept
Motherwell
3 : 0
Dundee Utd
29 Aug
Kilmarnock
0 : 4
Dundee Utd
22 Aug
Dundee Utd
0 : 2
Dundee FC
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Dundee FC

(Away)
19 Sept
Dundee FC
2 : 1
Motherwell
06 Sept
Hearts
2 : 1
Dundee FC
02 Sept
Dundee FC
1 : 1
St Johnstone
30 Aug
Dundee FC
1 : 2
Hibernian
22 Aug
Dundee Utd
0 : 2
Dundee FC
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
7 Dundee Utd 38 10 15 13 49:60 45
8 Dundee FC 38 11 9 18 42:61 42
9 Aberdeen 38 11 7 20 40:55 40
10 Kilmarnock 38 10 10 18 50:68 40
11 St. Mirren 38 8 10 20 30:55 34
12 Livingston 38 2 15 21 40:75 21
Relegation - Championship 2025/2026 (Promotion)
Relegation - Championship (Main)