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Dundee Utd vs Falkirk Prediction & H2H Stats

Scotland Scotland

Premiership Tannadice Park, Dundee
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Murrell J.
Assist: Strain R.
19'
Sub
Merghem M. In: Randall J.
Out: Merghem M.
42'
Tait D.

AI Match Summary

The Premiership game between Dundee Utd and Falkirk finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Dundee Utd
30%
Draws
29%
Falkirk
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Dundee Utd

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

29% / Low Confidence
  • Dundee Utd haven't matched Falkirk's recent run of results.
  • 29% — that's where the model lands on Falkirk taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Dundee Utd Clean Sheet 17%
Falkirk Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dundee Utd Falkirk
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 12
Draws 7 4
Losses 12 14
Goals Scored 1.43 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.53
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2026 Premiership
Dundee Utd vs Falkirk
1:1
Mar 6, 2026 Scottish Cup
Falkirk vs Dundee Utd
2:1
Feb 14, 2026 Premiership
Falkirk vs Dundee Utd
2:3
Nov 22, 2025 Premiership
Dundee Utd vs Falkirk
0:3
Aug 3, 2025 Premiership
Falkirk vs Dundee Utd
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Dundee Utd Compare

Top Goalscorer Forbes M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Falkirk Compare

Top Goalscorer Murrell J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dundee Utd 28 / 100
Falkirk 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dundee Utd Falkirk

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Falkirk Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

Dundee Utd's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Falkirk let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Recent resilience: Dundee Utd stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Dundee Utd VS Falkirk
1.75 Goals Scored 1
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Dundee Utd

(Home)
19 Sept
St. Mirren
0 : 3
Dundee Utd
05 Sept
Dundee Utd
1 : 1
Falkirk
02 Sept
Motherwell
3 : 0
Dundee Utd
29 Aug
Kilmarnock
0 : 4
Dundee Utd
22 Aug
Dundee Utd
0 : 2
Dundee FC
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Falkirk

(Away)
19 Sept
St Johnstone
1 : 1
Falkirk
15 Sept
Falkirk
2 : 1
Hearts
05 Sept
Dundee Utd
1 : 1
Falkirk
02 Sept
Falkirk
1 : 2
Rangers
29 Aug
Celtic
2 : 1
Falkirk
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Celtic 7 6 0 1 14:4 18
2 Rangers 7 5 1 1 8:4 16
3 Hearts 7 4 1 2 14:8 13
4 Dundee FC 7 3 1 3 9:7 10
5 St. Mirren 7 3 1 3 8:9 10
6 St Johnstone 7 2 2 3 9:10 8
7 Aberdeen 7 2 2 3 7:8 8
8 Dundee Utd 7 2 2 3 9:11 8
9 Motherwell 7 2 2 3 9:11 8
10 Hibernian 7 2 1 4 8:11 7
11 Falkirk 7 1 3 3 6:9 6
12 Kilmarnock 7 1 2 4 6:15 5
Promotion - Premiership (Championship Group)
Relegation - Premiership (Relegation Group)