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Dundela vs Moyola

Northern Ireland Northern Ireland

NIFL Championship
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AI Match Summary

The NIFL Championship game between Dundela and Moyola finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Dundela
30%
Draws
33%
Moyola
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Dundela

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Moyola carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 37% — that's where the model lands on Dundela taking it.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this NIFL Championship fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Dundela have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Dundela Clean Sheet 12%
Moyola Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dundela Moyola
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 5 12
Draws 14 2
Losses 11 14
Goals Scored 1.43 1.32
Goals Conceded 1.87 1.89
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 8, 2026 NIFL Championship
Dundela vs Moyola
2:2
Jul 5, 2022 Club Friendly
Dundela vs Moyola
4:1
Apr 9, 2011 IFA Championship 2
Dundela vs Moyola
3:0
Oct 2, 2010 IFA Championship 2
Moyola vs Dundela
0:3
Mar 13, 2010 IFA Championship 2
Moyola vs Dundela
1:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dundela 74 / 100
Moyola 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dundela Moyola

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Dundela Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Dundela's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Moyola has conceded goals in 71% of their last 28 outings.

Dundela went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Dundela VS Moyola
1.88 Goals Scored 1.13
2.38 Goals Conceded 2.13
100% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Dundela

(Home)
26 Sept
Armagh
0 : 2
Dundela
18 Sept
Dundela
1 : 1
Strabane Athletic
12 Sept
Newington FC
5 : 5
Dundela
05 Sept
Dundela
3 : 2
Glenavon
28 Aug
Harland & Wolff
2 : 0
Dundela
Page 1 of 6

Moyola

(Away)
26 Sept
Queens University
0 : 1
Moyola
19 Sept
Moyola
0 : 0
Ards
12 Sept
Warrenpoint
6 : 2
Moyola
05 Sept
Moyola
1 : 4
Harland & Wolff
28 Aug
Moyola
1 : 0
Armagh
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Newington FC 9 6 2 1 24:11 20
2 Annagh 9 6 2 1 23:12 20
3 Glenavon 9 5 2 2 22:13 17
4 Queens University 9 5 1 3 18:7 16
5 Harland & Wolff 9 5 0 4 17:13 15
6 Newry City 9 4 3 2 15:16 15
7 Warrenpoint 9 4 1 4 17:14 13
8 Ballinamallard 9 4 1 4 15:15 13
9 Institute 9 4 1 4 13:17 13
10 Dundela 9 2 5 2 18:18 11
11 Ards 9 3 2 4 11:12 11
12 Moyola 9 3 2 4 10:17 11
13 Loughgall 9 2 4 3 12:18 10
14 Strabane Athletic 9 2 2 5 10:19 8
15 Armagh 9 0 4 5 8:16 4
16 Rathfriland Rangers 9 1 0 8 6:21 3
Promotion - NIFL Championship (Promotion Group)
Relegation - NIFL Championship (Relegation Group)