Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Dundela vs Tobermore

Northern Ireland Northern Ireland

Irish League Cup 2019/2020
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
McComb C.
35'
Kearns C.
48' Event
Morrison J.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 6-0, with Dundela advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Dundela
35%
Draws
28%
Tobermore
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Dundela

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Dundela haven't matched Tobermore's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Dundela a 37% chance of winning this.
  • Tobermore arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Dundela, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Dundela have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Dundela Clean Sheet 18%
Tobermore Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dundela Tobermore
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 4 11
Draws 12 0
Losses 14 20
Goals Scored 1.3 2.16
Goals Conceded 2 2.58
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 27, 2019 Irish League Cup
Dundela vs Tobermore
6:0
Feb 2, 2013 NIFL Championship
Tobermore vs Dundela
2:3
Dec 1, 2012 NIFL Championship
Dundela vs Tobermore
4:2
Mar 19, 2011 IFA Championship 2
Dundela vs Tobermore
4:3
Nov 20, 2010 IFA Championship 2
Tobermore vs Dundela
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Dundela Compare

Top Goalscorer McComb C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Morrison J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.61

Tobermore Compare

Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dundela 76 / 100
Tobermore 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dundela Tobermore

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Dundela Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tobermore let in goals in 87% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 4.80 goals.

Dundela's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Solid form: Dundela remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Dundela VS -
1.25 Goals Scored 0
1.63 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Dundela

(Home)
15 Aug
Dundela
2 : 2
Annagh
11 Aug
Ards
2 : 2
Dundela
08 Aug
Dundela
2 : 2
Moyola
01 Aug
Crusaders
2 : 0
Dundela
25 Jul
Dundela
1 : 1
Bangor FC
Page 1 of 6

Tobermore

(Away)
13 Aug
Tobermore
3 : 4
Queens University
25 Nov
Willowbank
3 : 2
Tobermore
19 Aug
Limavady
6 : 1
Tobermore
22 Jul
Coleraine
2 : 1
Tobermore
15 Jul
Harland & Wolff
3 : 5
Tobermore
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Ballymena -
TBD -
TBD -
Newington FC -
Portadown -
TBD -
TBD -
Dollingstown -
Limavady -
TBD -
TBD -
Ards -
Lurgan Celtic -
TBD -
TBD -
Crusaders -
Glenavon -
TBD -
TBD -
Portstewart -
Loughgall 2
Banbridge 1
TBD -
Newry City -
Institute -
TBD -
Queens University 1
PSNI 3
Warrenpoint -
TBD -
Armagh 0
Harland & Wolff 6
Dungannon -
TBD -
TBD -
Dergview -
Ballinamallard -
TBD -
TBD -
Linfield -
Cliftonville -
TBD -
TBD -
Moyola -
Carrick Rangers -
TBD -
TBD -
Bangor FC -
Larne -
TBD -
TBD -
Lisburn Distillery -
Tobermore -
TBD -
TBD -
Dundela -
Coleraine -
TBD -
TBD -
Annagh -
Ballyclare 7
Knockbreda 1
TBD -
Glentoran -
1/16-finals
Ballymena 3
Newington FC 0
Portadown 1
Dollingstown 2
Limavady 4
Ards 2
Lurgan Celtic -
Crusaders -
Glenavon 4
Portstewart 1
Loughgall 0
Newry City 1
Institute 3
PSNI 2
Warrenpoint 2
Harland & Wolff 4
Dungannon 2
Dergview 0
Ballinamallard 4
Linfield 5
Cliftonville 3
Moyola 1
Carrick Rangers 3
Bangor FC 5
Larne 3
Lisburn Distillery 0
Tobermore 0
Dundela 6
Coleraine 4
Annagh 0
Ballyclare 1
Glentoran 5
1/8-finals
Ballymena 6
Dollingstown 0
Limavady 1
Crusaders 4
Glenavon 2
Newry City 3
Institute 3
Harland & Wolff 0
Dungannon 0
Linfield 4
Cliftonville 3
Bangor FC 2
Larne 1
Dundela 3
Coleraine 2
Glentoran 1
Quarter-finals
Ballymena 1
Crusaders 2
Newry City 0
Institute 1
Linfield 1
Cliftonville 0
Dundela 1
Coleraine 5
Semi-finals
Crusaders 2
Institute 0
Linfield 0
Coleraine 3
Final
Crusaders 1
Coleraine 2