Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Duneberg vs TSV Buchholz 08

Germany Germany

Oberliga Hamburg 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

61' Event
Simpson N.
68' Event
Landau J.
77'
Apau A.

AI Match Summary

The Oberliga Hamburg 2023/2024 game between Duneberg and TSV Buchholz 08 finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Duneberg.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

7%
Duneberg
35%
Draws
58%
TSV Buchholz 08
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: TSV Buchholz 08

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and TSV Buchholz 08 come out ahead of Duneberg on wins alone.
  • Model gives TSV Buchholz 08 a 58% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Oberliga Hamburg 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Duneberg Clean Sheet 12%
TSV Buchholz 08 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Duneberg TSV Buchholz 08
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 5 14
Draws 1 4
Losses 24 12
Goals Scored 1.17 2.7
Goals Conceded 4.2 2.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.60 1.74
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 24, 2024 Oberliga Hamburg
Duneberg vs TSV Buchholz 08
2:1
Sep 20, 2023 Oberliga Hamburg
TSV Buchholz 08 vs Duneberg
8:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Duneberg Compare

Top Goalscorer Simpson N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Landau J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.23
Avg xA / game 0.8

TSV Buchholz 08 Compare

Top Goalscorer Bohmker P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.58
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Duneberg 10 / 100
TSV Buchholz 08 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Duneberg TSV Buchholz 08

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TSV Buchholz 08 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

TSV Buchholz 08 has conceded goals in 83% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 6.00 goals as a typical output.

Duneberg found the back of the net in 60% of recent matches (30 games).

Duneberg went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS TSV Buchholz 08
0 Goals Scored 2.38
0 Goals Conceded 2
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Duneberg

(Home)
17 May
ETSV Hamburg
7 : 1
Duneberg
11 May
Duneberg
0 : 9
Niendorfer TSV
26 Apr
Dassendorf
4 : 0
Duneberg
20 Apr
Duneberg
1 : 6
Harksheide
16 Apr
Duneberg
2 : 2
Suderelbe
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TSV Buchholz 08

(Away)
18 Sept
Harksheide
2 : 2
TSV Buchholz 08
13 Sept
TSV Buchholz 08
5 : 5
Altona
06 Sept
TSV Buchholz 08
3 : 2
HEBC Hamburg
28 Aug
ETSV Hamburg
1 : 4
TSV Buchholz 08
23 Aug
TSV Buchholz 08
1 : 1
TSV Concordia
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Altona 34 25 7 2 91:29 82
2 Dassendorf 34 24 5 5 96:36 77
3 ETSV Hamburg 34 18 9 7 74:43 63
4 Niendorfer TSV 34 18 8 8 86:51 62
5 HEBC Hamburg 34 16 11 7 75:52 59
6 Sasel 34 16 8 10 76:54 56
7 Paloma 34 14 8 12 58:56 50
8 SC Victoria Hamburg 34 14 7 13 79:67 49
9 Suderelbe 34 13 9 12 85:61 48
10 TSV Buchholz 08 34 13 7 14 65:65 46
11 Harksheide 34 12 10 12 61:63 46
12 Halstenbek-Rellingen 34 11 9 14 70:70 42
13 TSV Concordia 34 11 6 17 71:91 39
14 Alsterbruder 34 10 4 20 70:91 34
15 Turkiye Wilhelmsburg 34 9 5 20 57:82 32
16 Rugenbergen 34 9 3 22 46:84 30
17 Tornesch 34 6 6 22 43:106 24
18 Duneberg 34 5 2 27 39:141 17
Promotion - Oberliga NOFV-Nord 2024/2025 (Play Offs)