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Dunedin vs Manawatu

New Zealand New Zealand

Football Championship 2003
Dunedin Logo

Dunedin

1 - 0
FT
Manawatu Logo

Manawatu

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Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Dunedin in this Football Championship 2003 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Dunedin.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Dunedin
15%
Draws
28%
Manawatu
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Dunedin

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Dunedin lately — more wins on the board than Manawatu.
  • Model gives Dunedin a 57% chance of winning this.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 94%
Over 1.5 Goals 83.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 54%
Over 4.5 Goals 24%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Dunedin Clean Sheet 16%
Manawatu Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dunedin Manawatu
Matches Played 30 42
Wins 11 6
Draws 3 4
Losses 16 32
Goals Scored 1.5 1.05
Goals Conceded 2.17 3.5
Expected Goals (xG) 2.40 1.48
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 25, 2003 Football Championship
Dunedin vs Manawatu
1:0
Feb 23, 2003 Football Championship
Manawatu vs Dunedin
3:1
Apr 21, 2002 Football Championship
Manawatu vs Dunedin
0:2
Feb 17, 2002 Football Championship
Dunedin vs Manawatu
0:1
Jul 7, 2001 Football Championship
Dunedin vs Manawatu
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dunedin 84 / 100
Manawatu 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dunedin Manawatu

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Dunedin Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Manawatu has conceded goals in 98% of their last 42 outings.

Dunedin's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Difficult form: Manawatu registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Dunedin VS Manawatu
1.67 Goals Scored 1.13
1.83 Goals Conceded 3.13
67% Over 1.5 100%
67% Over 2.5 88%
33% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Dunedin

(Home)
09 Aug
Dunedin
1 : 2
Mangere United
11 Jul
Dunedin
6 : 1
Mosgiel
27 Jul
Dunedin
0 : 3
Cashmere Technical
28 Jun
Dunedin
1 : 0
Otago University
21 Jul
Miramar
5 : 1
Dunedin
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Manawatu

(Away)
24 Feb
Manawatu
1 : 4
Auckland City
17 Feb
Canterbury
4 : 1
Manawatu
10 Feb
WaiBOP United
2 : 3
Manawatu
03 Feb
Manawatu
0 : 6
Team Wellington
26 Jan
Waitakere United
4 : 0
Manawatu
Page 1 of 9

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Miramar 18 11 0 7 46:29 33
2 East Auckland 18 10 3 5 34:24 33
3 Central United 18 10 1 7 44:29 31
4 Napier City 18 9 2 7 29:28 29
5 Manawatu 18 8 3 7 32:29 27
6 Canterbury 18 7 5 6 34:34 26
7 North Shore 18 6 5 7 30:34 23
8 Caversham 18 5 5 8 19:26 20
9 Dunedin 18 6 2 10 24:38 20
10 Tauranga 18 4 2 12 20:41 14
Promotion - Football Championship 2003 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Football Championship 2003 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Football Championship 2003 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Football Championship 2003 (Play Offs)