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Dunedin vs Tauranga

New Zealand New Zealand

Football Championship 2003
Dunedin Logo

Dunedin

2 - 0
FT
Tauranga Logo

Tauranga

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Dunedin in this Football Championship 2003 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Dunedin.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Dunedin
15%
Draws
28%
Tauranga
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Dunedin

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Dunedin have won more games recently than Tauranga.
  • Win probability leans Dunedin's way, sitting at 70%.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this Football Championship 2003 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Dunedin Clean Sheet 17%
Tauranga Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dunedin Tauranga
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 10
Draws 3 4
Losses 16 16
Goals Scored 1.5 1.47
Goals Conceded 2.17 1.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 30, 2003 Football Championship
Dunedin vs Tauranga
2:0
Feb 1, 2003 Football Championship
Tauranga vs Dunedin
2:0
Apr 14, 2002 Football Championship
Tauranga vs Dunedin
2:0
Feb 3, 2002 Football Championship
Dunedin vs Tauranga
0:1
Aug 12, 2001 Football Championship
Dunedin vs Tauranga
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dunedin 66 / 100
Tauranga 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dunedin Tauranga

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Dunedin Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Dunedin's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: Tauranga conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Tauranga's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Dunedin VS Tauranga
1.25 Goals Scored 1.25
1.5 Goals Conceded 2
50% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Dunedin

(Home)
09 Aug
Dunedin
1 : 2
Mangere United
11 Jul
Dunedin
6 : 1
Mosgiel
27 Jul
Dunedin
0 : 3
Cashmere Technical
28 Jun
Dunedin
1 : 0
Otago University
21 Jul
Miramar
5 : 1
Dunedin
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Tauranga

(Away)
12 Jul
Tauranga
1 : 2
Eastern Suburbs
29 Jun
Tauranga
0 : 2
Onehunga
25 May
North Shore
3 : 1
Tauranga
18 May
Tauranga
2 : 3
Napier City
11 May
Tauranga
3 : 2
Canterbury
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Miramar 18 11 0 7 46:29 33
2 East Auckland 18 10 3 5 34:24 33
3 Central United 18 10 1 7 44:29 31
4 Napier City 18 9 2 7 29:28 29
5 Manawatu 18 8 3 7 32:29 27
6 Canterbury 18 7 5 6 34:34 26
7 North Shore 18 6 5 7 30:34 23
8 Caversham 18 5 5 8 19:26 20
9 Dunedin 18 6 2 10 24:38 20
10 Tauranga 18 4 2 12 20:41 14
Promotion - Football Championship 2003 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Football Championship 2003 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Football Championship 2003 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Football Championship 2003 (Play Offs)